The Positives Were Limited, and the PE Market Continued to Drop This Week
Price Trends
According to Todudu data monitoring, the domestic LLDPE (7042) price was RMB 8682.86 per ton on July 1, and the average price was RMB 8611.43 per ton on July 8, down 0.82% compared with the same period on June 1. 4.58%.
According to the data of Tudou.com, the average price of LDPE (2426H) ex-works on July 1 was RMB10,933.33/ton, and the average price on July 8 was RMB10,933.33/ton. Prices remained stable during the period, down 3.81% from June 1st.
According to the monitoring of the data of TuoDu, the average price of HDPE (5000S) ex-works on July 1 was RMB 9416.67/ton, and the average price on July 8 was RMB 9150.00/ton, up 2.83% in the same period. Than on June 1, down 5.83%.
Analyzing Review
At the beginning of July, most of the domestic PE market prices were on a downward trend. The three main varieties continued to weaken this month, in addition to some of the decline, prices basically remained stable. Among them, LLDPE and HDPE declined, and LDPE remained stable. There was not enough favorable market support. Earlier this month, international crude oil prices began to fall, and its cost had a significant negative impact on the market. Some petrochemical companies cut their ex-factory prices by RMB 50-300 per ton. The downstream was cautious and still maintained emergency purchases with low enthusiasm to enter the market. The market lacked positive support, traders were in a general mindset, and prices mainly fell.
July 8, PE futures 2209 opened at 8248, the highest 8396, the lowest 8396. query price of 8241, the closing price of 8357, the early settlement price of 8168, the settlement price of 8335, up 189, turnover of 414,794 hands, positions 339,066 hands.-14964 lots. (Quotation unit: yuan / ton)
Market Outlook
Currently, the trend of international crude oil prices is still uncertain, and the positive market costs from higher oil prices are limited. Ex-works prices of most petrochemical companies have declined, indicating that market sentiment is at normal levels. In addition, downstream demand is weak and purchases remain largely demand-based. Due to the poor market conditions, companies often lowered their estimates. In the short term, PE spot market is expected to remain weak.
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