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Gasoline (20230511): Phased replenishment is over, market operation is weak

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May 26, 2023, 4:24 PM

Gasoline: phased replenishment ends, the market operation is weak

International crude oil closed

 

Date

Market

Specifications

Close (US dollars / barrel)

Rise and fall

20230525

America

WTI

71.83

-2.51

20230525

The United Kingdom

Brent

76.26

-2.1

 

Gasoline price index

On May 26th, China's gasoline price index fell 2.76, or 0.03%, to 8768.87, while China's gasoline price index fell 3.19, or 0.04%, to 9048.74. The 9-month gasoline index and the 9-month gasoline index were both downgraded, and the price difference between the 9-month gasoline index and the 9-month gasoline index was 279.87.

 

Gasoline market analysis:

Today, the wholesale price of gasoline in China is mainly stable in most areas, and only the high-end prices of gasoline in North China have fallen. The ex-factory price of georefining has been reduced in a narrow range, among which the price of gasoline in Shandong, North China, East China and Northwest China has been reduced by 20-50 yuan per ton. Gasoline prices in central China and northeast China remain stable for the time being. At present, the turnover of China's gasoline market is weakening, with the end of phased replenishment, the procurement frequency tends to be stable, orders mostly turn to rigid demand procurement, and the demand side support is general. The delivery speed of refinery noodles becomes slower, inventory accumulates slightly, and there are certain preferential policies to stimulate shipments. On the whole, the buying and selling atmosphere is general, and the market operation is weak.

 

May 26 main wholesale price of gasoline (yuan / ton)

Area

Gasoline model

Price 5.25

Price 5.26

Rise and fall

North China region

92#

8600-9050

8600-9000

0/-50

95#

8800-9200

8800-9150

0/-50

South China

92#

8800-9200

8800-9200

0/0

95#

9000-9500

9000-9500

0/0

Central China

92#

8650-9000

8650-9000

0/0

95#

8800-9200

8800-9200

0/0

East China region

92#

8600-9000

8600-9000

0/0

95#

8850-9180

8850-9180

0/0

Northwestern region

92#

8650-9470

8650-9470

0/0

95#

8900-10030

8900-10030

0/0

Southwest China

92#

8950-9200

8950-9200

0/0

95#

9100-9650

9100-9650

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8480-8700

8480-8700

0/0

95#

8830-9150

8830-9150

0/0

 

The ex-factory price of gasoline refinery on May 26 (RMB / ton)

Area

Gasoline model

Price 5.25

Price 5.26

Rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8290-8600

8240-8550

-50/-50

95#

8400-8800

8350-8750

-50/-50

North China region

92#

8300-8420

8300-8400

0/-20

95#

8400-8520

8400-8500

0/-20

Central China

92#

8700-8700

8700-8700

0/0

95#

8900-8900

8900-8900

0/0

East China region

92#

8390-8430

8360-8410

-30/-20

95#

8540-8580

8510-8560

-30/-20

Northwestern region

92#

8450-8700

8400-8700

-50/0

95#

8650-8900

8600-8900

-50/0

Northeast China

92#

8550-8550

8550-8550

0/0

95#

8750-8750

8750-8750

0/0

 

Future forecast

From the perspective of international crude oil, there is still uncertainty in the US debt ceiling negotiations, market worries have increased, and international crude oil prices have fallen, although the current rate of change is still positive, and the expectation of an increase in the retail price of refined oil products is still there, but the guidance to the market is limited. From the demand point of view, phased replenishment to rigid demand procurement, real order trading volume is small, small orders mainly, traders wait-and-see mood warming, there is no obvious boost to the demand side. On the whole, it is expected that the price of China's gasoline market will be arranged in a narrow range in the short term.

 

Maximum retail price list of gasoline and diesel in provinces, autonomous regions, cities and central cities

Since 24:00 on May 16, 2023, the prices of gasoline and diesel in China (the same below) will be reduced by RMB380,365 per ton respectively. After the adjustment, the maximum retail prices of gasoline and diesel in all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and central cities are shown in the attached table. The date of the price adjustment will be 24:00 on May 16, 2023, the 7th working day in China since the price adjustment was announced by the National Development and Reform Commission.

 

Schedule

Maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel in provinces, autonomous regions, cities and central cities

Unit: yuan / ton

 

I. areas with one province and one price

 

 

Gasoline (standard)

Diesel oil (standard)

Beijing

9275

8255

Tianjin

9240

8220

Hebei Province

9240

8220

Shanxi province

9310

8275

Liaoning province

9240

8220

Jilin Province

9240

8220

Heilongjiang province

9240

8220

Shanghai

9255

8225

Jiangsu Province

9295

8260

Zhejiang Province

9295

8275

Anhui province

9290

8270

Fujian Province

9315

8285

Jiangxi province

9295

8280

Shandong province

9250

8230

Hubei province

9265

8245

Hunan Province

9305

8305

Henan province

9260

8240

Hainan province

9385

8355

Chongqing

9455

8430

Guangdong province

9320

8290

Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region

9385

8355

Ningxia Hui Autonomous region

9245

8220

Gansu province

9225

8240

Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous region

9020

8115

II. Areas with one province and one price will not be implemented for the time being

 

Gasoline (standard)

Diesel oil (standard)

Hohhot

9255

8235

Chengdu city

9460

8455

Guiyang city

9420

8380

Kunming City

9450

8410

Xi'an city

9225

8230

Xining City

9205

8265

                                                                

Note: 1. The prices in the table include consumption tax, value-added tax, urban construction tax and additional education fees.

2. The prices of gasoline and diesel oil in the table are in line with the compulsory national standards of VIA and Ⅵ in the sixth stage.

3. The sixth stage standard of gasoline and diesel is gasoline and No. 0 vehicle diesel respectively.

4. The prices of gasoline and diesel oil that meet the quality standards of the sixth stage for the national reserve and the Xinjiang production and Construction Corps are 8510 yuan and 7490 yuan per ton respectively, and other relevant oil price policies shall be implemented in accordance with the provisions of the measures for Oil Price Management.