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Gasoline (20230517): On the first day of price reduction, operators have limited access to the market

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May 17, 2023, 4:56 PM

Gasoline: limited operation of operators on the first day of price reduction

International crude oil closed

 

Date

Market

Specifications

Close (US dollars / barrel)

Rise and fall

20230516

America

WTI

70.86

-0.25

20230516

The United Kingdom

Brent

74.91

-0.32

 

Gasoline price index

On May 17, China's gasoline price index fell 46.02, or 0.53%, to 8708.34, while China's gasoline price index fell 52.03, or 0.58%, to 8992.15. The 9-month gasoline index and the 9-month gasoline index were both downgraded, and the price difference between the 9-month gasoline index and the 9-month gasoline index was 283.80.

 

Gasoline market analysis:

Today, the wholesale price of gasoline in China has been reduced in some areas, among which the prices of gasoline in North China and Northwest China, as well as those in Southwest and Northeast China have been reduced by 20-200 yuan per ton, mostly concentrated in high-end prices. The price of gasoline in South China, Central China, East China, southwest and northeast China fluctuates. The ex-factory prices of geo-refinery remained stable in most places, but the prices of gasoline in Shandong Province were reduced by 90 yuan per ton. At present, the transaction in China's gasoline market is general, the first day of price limit reduction is limited, the stock is mainly eliminated, the demand remains low, the delivery speed of refineries is slow, and there is some room for negotiation. On the whole, the market does not have enough room for promotion, and the purchase and sale is weak.

 

May 17 main wholesale price of gasoline (yuan / ton)

Area

Gasoline model

Price 5.16

Price 5.17

Rise and fall

North China region

92#

8580-9000

8560-8800

-40/-200

95#

8800-9300

8760-9100

-40/-200

South China

92#

8700-9100

8700-9100

0/0

95#

8900-9400

8900-9400

0/0

Central China

92#

8600-9000

8600-9000

0/0

95#

8750-9200

8750-9200

0/0

East China region

92#

8500-9000

8500-9000

0/0

95#

8700-9100

8700-9100

0/0

Northwestern region

92#

8500-9650

8500-9470

0/-180

95#

8700-10450

8700-10030

0/-420

Southwest China

92#

8700-9120

8700-9100

0/-20

95#

8900-9350

8900-9350

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8500-8950

8480-8950

-20/0

95#

8800-9400

8800-9400

0/0

 

The ex-factory price of gasoline refinery on May 17 (RMB / ton)

Area

Gasoline model

Price 5.16

Price 5.17

Rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8160-8500

8070-8500

-90/0

95#

8260-8660

8170-8660

-90/0

North China region

92#

8270-8300

8270-8300

0/0

95#

8370-8400

8370-8400

0/0

Central China

92#

8480-8480

8480-8480

0/0

95#

8680-8680

8680-8680

0/0

East China region

92#

8230-8300

8230-8300

0/0

95#

8380-8450

8380-8450

0/0

Northwestern region

92#

8100-8400

8100-8400

0/0

95#

8200-8600

8200-8600

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8550-8550

8550-8550

0/0

95#

8750-8750

8750-8750

0/0

 

Future forecast

From a macro point of view, April data released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that the total volume of retail sales of consumer goods increased by 18.4% compared with the same period last year, and the added value of industries above the national scale increased by 5.6% compared with the same period last year. In terms of international crude oil, the US economic data is lower than expected, coupled with the lower-than-expected growth of industrial output and retail sales in China in April, but the refinery processing volume data is better, the international crude oil price fell slightly, and the international crude oil news surface support is insufficient. From the perspective of supply and demand, the current stability of supply is superimposed by the low demand in the gasoline market, and the gasoline market in China remains weak. However, before the implementation of the price limit for refined oil products, the market has already consumed some of the decline. Taken together, the price of gasoline in China is expected to decline narrowly in the short term.

 

Maximum retail price list of gasoline and diesel in provinces, autonomous regions, cities and central cities

Since 24:00 on May 16, 2023, the prices of gasoline and diesel in China (the same below) will be reduced by RMB380,365 per ton respectively. After the adjustment, the maximum retail prices of gasoline and diesel in all provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and central cities are shown in the attached table. The date of the price adjustment will be 24:00 on May 16, 2023, the first working day in China since the price adjustment was announced by the National Development and Reform Commission.

 

Schedule

Maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel in provinces, autonomous regions, cities and central cities

Unit: yuan / ton

 

I. areas with one province and one price

 

 

Gasoline (standard)

Diesel oil (standard)

Beijing

9275

8255

Tianjin

9240

8220

Hebei Province

9240

8220

Shanxi province

9310

8275

Liaoning province

9240

8220

Jilin Province

9240

8220

Heilongjiang province

9240

8220

Shanghai

9255

8225

Jiangsu Province

9295

8260

Zhejiang Province

9295

8275

Anhui province

9290

8270

Fujian Province

9315

8285

Jiangxi province

9295

8280

Shandong province

9250

8230

Hubei province

9265

8245

Hunan Province

9305

8305

Henan province

9260

8240

Hainan province

9385

8355

Chongqing

9455

8430

Guangdong province

9320

8290

Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region

9385

8355

Ningxia Hui Autonomous region

9245

8220

Gansu province

9225

8240

Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous region

9020

8115

II. Areas with one province and one price will not be implemented for the time being

 

Gasoline (standard)

Diesel oil (standard)

Hohhot

9255

8235

Chengdu city

9460

8455

Guiyang city

9420

8380

Kunming City

9450

8410

Xi'an city

9225

8230

Xining City

9205

8265

                                                                

Note: 1. The prices in the table include consumption tax, value-added tax, urban construction tax and additional education fees.

2. The prices of gasoline and diesel oil in the table are in line with the compulsory national standards of VIA and Ⅵ in the sixth stage.

3. The sixth stage standard of gasoline and diesel is gasoline and No. 0 vehicle diesel respectively.

4. The prices of gasoline and diesel oil that meet the quality standards of the sixth stage for the national reserve and the Xinjiang production and Construction Corps are 8510 yuan and 7490 yuan per ton respectively, and other relevant oil price policies shall be implemented in accordance with the provisions of the measures for Oil Price Management.