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Polypropylene PP: Spot prices continue to fall, and international oil prices rebounded for the first time in five trading days

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October 18, 2024, 4:12 PM

China Petrochemical Inventory: The polyolefin inventory of the two oils was 815,000 tons, a decrease of 5,000 tons from yesterday.

Analysis of PP Futures: 10July 18 Opening price of PP2501: 7458, highest price: 7525, lowest price: 7455, open position: 341096, settlement price: 7489Yesterday's settlement: 7523, down: 34.

Mainstream quotes for wire drawing in the PP market:

Today's market price of polypropylene PP (unit: yuan/ton)
regionalOctober 17October 18rise and fall
North China7440-75307390-7480-50/-50
East China7490-76507440-7600-50/-50
South China7640-77807590-7760-50/-20

Propylene market price list

Today's propylene market price (unit: yuan/ton)
regionalproduction enterprisesOctober 17October 18rise and fall
East ChinaHuanghaixian6980-70006830-6900-150/-100
Nora7250-72507200-7250-50/0
Ningbo, Zhejiang6950-70006950-70000/0
Lianyungang6975-69756975-69750/0
East China6950-70006950-70000/0
Shandong ProvinceSouthwest Shandong6950-70506950-70500/0
Dongying6900-69606880-6950-20/-10
Zibo6950-69506920-6950-30/0
Shandong6900-69506880-6950-20/0

PP China spot market analysis: Today, the overall PP market in China continues to decline. Prices in various regional markets have been lowered, ranging from 20 to 50 yuan/ton. In terms of price: mainstream polypropylene prices in China range from 7390 to 7760 yuan/ton. U.S. EIA inventory data shows that U.S. crude oil inventories have dropped unexpectedly, which has affected the rebound in international oil prices to a certain extent. The consumption of polyolefin inventories in the other two oils is moderate, and the total output of PP production companies is still relatively high, while terminal demand remains just needed. Downstream cautiously wait and see, traders will give more profits to ship, and on-site trading conditions will not change much.

PP spot trend forecast: In terms of supply, although the polyolefin inventories of the two oils are slowly fluctuating and removed from storage, the current inventory level is still higher than the level of the same period last year, and pressure for removing storage still exists. In addition, Sinopec Innios (Tianjin) Petrochemical Co., Ltd. plans to put into production by the end of October. It is expected that the new production capacity will reach about 2.8 million tons by then, and the supply pressure may increase. In terms of demand, although it is currently in the peak season of the Silver Tenth Festival, terminal demand remains slow to follow up, downstream receipt volume is low, and there has been no significant improvement. Overall, it is expected that the polypropylene market may be weak in the short term.

China PP Index: According to Tuduo data, China's PP spot index on October 18 was 7543.33, down 45, or 0.59%.

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Summary of plant parking in China:

enterprise nameproduction lineproduction capacityparking timedriving time
Dalian Petrochemicalthird-tier5August 2, 2006pending
Wuhan petrochemicalold unit12November 12, 2021pending
Haiguo Longyoufirst-tier20February 8, 2022pending
Haiguo Longyousecond-tier35April 3, 2022pending
Tianjin petrochemicalfirst-tier6August 1, 2022pending
Jinxi petrochemicalsingle line15February 16, 2023pending
Qinghai Salt Lakesingle line16October 27, 2023pending
Changzhou Fudesingle line30November 1, 2023pending
Qilu petrochemicalsingle line7December 23, 2023pending
Wanhua chemicalsingle line30May 11, 2024pending
Quanzhou Guohengsingle line45May 27, 2024pending
Luoyang petrochemicalfirst-tier8June 26, 2024pending
Northern Huajinold line6July 10, 2024pending
Anhui tiandasingle line15July 20, 2024pending
Fushun petrochemicalfirst-tier9August 2, 2024pending
Hongrun Petrochemicalsingle line45August 8, 2024pending
Yan 'an refineryfirst-tier10August 10, 2024pending
Shaoxing Sanyuannew line30August 23, 2024pending
Ningbo Jinfasecond-tier40September 10, 2024October 20, 2024
Dalian HengliSTPP line20September 18, 2024pending
Fujian Unitedold line12September 20, 2024December 4, 2024
Fujian Unitedfirst-tier33October 8, 2024November 27, 2024
Fujian Unitedsecond-tier22October 9, 2024November 27, 2024
daxie petrochemicalsingle line30October 10, 2024November 30, 2024
China-Korea PetrochemicalSTPP line20October 10, 2024December 15, 2024
China-Korea PetrochemicalJPP line20October 11, 2024December 15, 2024
China-Korea Petrochemicalthird-tier30October 11, 2024December 15, 2024
Jinneng Chemicalthird-tier45October 17, 2024October 24, 2024

Shenhua auction transaction status: Shenhua Coal Chemical's auction volume today was 3,070.1 tons, down 0.48% from yesterday; the transaction volume was 1556 tons, down 26.81% from yesterday, and the transaction rate was 50.68%, down 18.23% from yesterday.