Caustic soda: The ex-factory price of caustic soda tablets has been significantly increased, market sentiment is high, and futures prices fluctuate widely

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2501 contract opening price: 2585, highest price: 2631, lowest price: 2571, position: 53029, settlement price: 2603, yesterday settlement price: 2586, up: 17, closing price: 2625, daily trading volume: 154537 lots, precipitated capital: 668 million, capital inflow: 63.7 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the mainstream transaction price of China's caustic soda market continues to rise, the price of liquid caustic soda maintains a small upward trend in the region, and the transaction price range of tablet caustic soda moves up obviously. From the perspective of market price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 10 yuan / ton in some areas, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali locally increased 30-60 yuan / ton, 99% of the sheet alkali transaction prices rose 50-230 yuan / ton, and the price range of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable. Today, the trend of the liquid alkali market is narrow and upward, the price of some areas has risen slightly, and the price of high concentration alkali is slightly higher than that of low concentration alkali. First of all, some of the local installations in Shandong, the main production area, are under maintenance, the enterprise inventory pressure is not great, and the downstream procurement situation has slightly increased, supporting the rise of local market prices. Individual areas are mainly affected by the rise in prices in Shandong. In most other areas, there is no obvious change on both sides of the market supply and demand, and the market trading atmosphere mostly maintains the previous level, and the price mostly maintains a stable operation. Upstream production enterprises in the main production areas of most manufacturers raised ex-factory quotations, ranging from 10 to 45 yuan / ton, most manufacturers in other areas temporarily stay stable and wait-and-see, price adjustment mentality is relatively cautious. Today, the price of tablet alkali market has risen almost across the board, and individual devices are still under overhaul. the new order quotations of mainstream manufacturers in Northwest China have been raised sharply, coupled with the fact that there is no pressure on enterprise inventory for the time being, and the market mentality is strong, which enhances traders' confidence in quotation. Therefore, most traders follow the increase of shipping prices, and the enthusiasm of inquiry in the market increases. Individual mainstream manufacturers in Shandong area have not quoted price for tablet alkali for the time being, and the price center of gravity in the local market has moved up.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract price wide concussion operation, the opening price of night trading rose to intraday highs, followed by concussion downside, small fluctuations during the day, late afternoon climbing. As of today's close, SH2501 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2571-2631 throughout the day, with a price difference of 60 points and an increase of 3799 positions. So far, 53029 positions have been held.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 50.54%, or 1.719%, to 2989.97 on October 16th.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:In the near future, the caustic soda plant is still overhauled, and the overall performance in terms of demand is OK, the enthusiasm of the main downstream alumina enterprises to start work is high, and the rigid procurement demand of non-aluminum downstream follows up slightly. In the liquid alkali market, there is still a maintenance plan in the later stage of the plant in some areas, which has a certain support for the local price, the performance of the supply side in most areas is stable, the price may maintain the status quo, and the price is expected to rise in the short term or regionally, and the market in most areas may be relatively stable. From the point of view of the tablet alkali market, after the new order quotations of the mainstream manufacturers in the northwest region have been greatly raised, the market prices in various regions have shown rising behavior, the inquiry enthusiasm of the operators is relatively high, the market sentiment is relatively high, and there is still a certain positive attitude towards the future market. In addition, the northwest region is still limited in terms of transportation, and the supply transport efficiency is low, which also supports the market. It is expected that the price range of the tablet alkali market may continue to move up in the short term.

In terms of futures:The main SH2501 contract price of caustic soda has risen to a certain extent. In today's market of most weak commodities, caustic soda has become one of the few rising star products. The bulls in the market are more active, and there is a certain strength to open more. By the end of the afternoon, the trading situation in the afternoon was 22.1% higher than 19.6%, and 18.8% more flat than 21.9%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) is upward, the KD lines at the daily level tend to intersect, and the MACD lines show a golden fork trend. In the short term, look at the disk or continue to vibrate between the middle and upper tracks.

Caustic soda holds the list: