< img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=2433975083660159&ev=PageView&noscript=1" />

Ethanol: On October 15, China's ethanol market is difficult to find good results

5
October 15, 2024, 4:35 PM

On October 15, the general-grade ethanol price index was 5418, down 43 from the previous working day and 0.79% from the previous working day.

image.png

Today, the price of ethanol in China's ethanol market continues to be weak, and it is difficult to find advantages in the market. October 15 hot spots: first, the northeast region of narrow finishing. Second, the weak arrangement in East China. Third, Central China. Fourth, the market price of ethyl acetate in China has stabilized, the main factories in Shandong have competed for sale, the starting price has stabilized, there is purchasing demand around, and the transaction atmosphere is OK.

Specifically, the northeast region of a narrow range of consolidation, a few large companies offer down, the performance of demand in the field is not good. Jilin reference price today: the price of general-grade corn ethanol is 5100-5600 yuan / ton, and the low-end price is 100 yuan / ton lower than that of the previous working day. The price of no water is 5750-6150 yuan / ton, and the low-end price is 50 yuan / ton lower than that of the previous working day. Heilongjiang reference price: general price 5000-5100 yuan / ton. Jinzhou general reference price is 5550-5600 yuan / ton, and the low-end price is 50 yuan / ton higher than that of the previous working day. East China weak consolidation, terminal downstream operators carefully wait and see to enter the market, the northeast to Shandong freight increases. Northern Jiangsu reference price: general price 5550 yuan / ton, anhydrous reference price 6200-6250 yuan / ton, 50 yuan / ton lower than the previous working day. Anhui reference price: general price 5500-5600 yuan / ton. The price of no water is 6400-6500 yuan / ton. Southern Jiangsu reference price: general price 5750-5900 yuan / ton. Shandong reference price: general reference price 5600 yuan / ton. The reference price of cassava anhydrous is 6300-6350 yuan / ton. In central China, there is a narrow downward adjustment, and the on-site shipments are general. Today's Henan reference price: excellent reference 5300-5350 yuan / ton, the low-end price is 100 yuan / ton lower than the previous working day, and the high-end price is 100 yuan / ton lower than the previous working day. Anhydrous ethanol refers to 6300-6350 yuan / ton.

image.png

image.png

Future forecast: it is expected that China's ethanol market will be weak in the short term. Edible ethanol: some areas continue to decline, on-site shipments are general, some factories let profit shipments, the contradiction between supply and demand is difficult to change in a short time, market prices or continue to be weak. Coal-to-ethanol: maintain the interval shock, the terminal downstream operators wait and see carefully. Anhydrous ethanol: anhydrous ethanol market keeps stable operation, and the shipment is slow. Fuel ethanol: weak and stable operation, active shipments of consignors, terminal downstream operators maintain rigid demand to purchase into the market.

Raw materials:The price of corn in the market has risen narrowly. The price of corn in Northeast China is divided, and the current quotation in the producing area is on the low side, but the price at the port is rising. The price of corn in North China is stable and strong, the arrival vehicles of deep processing enterprises in Shandong region are less, and the quotations of enterprises are raised in a narrow range. The price of DDGS is stable and weak, the demand performance of downstream operators is poor, the wait-and-see mood is strong, and some traders are flexible in bargaining. Recently, the price of dried cassava tends to be stable, and the cost of cassava alcohol is relatively stable.

Supply:The Huaxing and Houyuan plant in Mengzhou, Henan Province is running on one line, and the Huating device in Jiangsu is half-produced; the cassava plant in Xintiande, Guangxi, is produced without water; the Jinyuan plant in Guangxi is shut down; 80% of the load in Tieling, Guotou; the second and third line of Fukang in Meihekou is restored, and the fourth line is stopped; other devices have no obvious fluctuation for the time being.

Demand:WhiteThe demand for wine has improved slightly, and the downstream chemical enterprises have a rigid demand for replenishment.

Logistics:Freight from northeast to Shandong has gone up.

image.png