Caustic soda: Prices rose slightly at the beginning of the week, while futures prices broke through the track and went upwards

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2501 contract opening price: 2612, highest price: 2685, lowest price: 2600, position: 51496, settlement price: 2643, yesterday settlement price: 2577, up: 66, closing price: 2645, daily trading volume: 175505 lots, precipitated capital: 654 million, capital inflow: 58.25 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, China's caustic soda market shows an upward trend in a few areas, the market in most areas is relatively stable at the beginning of the week, a few manufacturers in the main liquid caustic soda producing areas have raised their ex-factory quotations, the new single quotations of tablet caustic soda manufacturers have not been announced, and the regional markets are cautious in their quotations. Today, the liquid alkali market is regionally upward, and prices continue to rise slightly. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regional markets, 32% of ionic membrane alkali rose 20-30 yuan / ton, 49% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 20-40 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable. The price range has not been significantly adjusted. At the beginning of the week, the ex-factory quotations of a few manufacturers in the main producing areas were raised, and the shipments of enterprises were OK, but the transaction prices in the local market remained stable for the time being; some devices in some areas were still under maintenance, and the prices supported by supply continued to rise slightly; the upward trend in the South China market was mainly affected by the rise in prices in the main producing areas last week; the rise in the price of tablet alkali in the northwest region led to the price of local liquid alkali. A small number of manufacturers of upstream production enterprises have raised their ex-factory quotations, while manufacturers in other regions have a relatively cautious mentality of price adjustment. Today's tablet alkali market at the beginning of the week Shandong tablet alkali manufacturers temporarily sealed the order not to quote, the local market transaction price center of gravity has not been significantly adjusted. The new order price in Northwest China has not yet been announced, the supply of goods from most manufacturers in the main producing areas is still not much, and transportation is still subject to certain restrictions. The mentality of the operators in the market is OK, the trading atmosphere is good, and the actual transaction price in the market is higher than that quoted by the manufacturers.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract night price concussion uplink, early trading opening after diving concussion operation, and then shock uplink again, late trading slightly down, afternoon concussion. As of today's close, SH2501 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2600-2685 throughout the day, with a spread of 85 points and an increase of 3684 positions in contracts, with 51496 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 12.89%, or 0.443%, to 2923.59 on October 14, while China's caustic soda index rose.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:This week, caustic soda enterprises still have new maintenance devices, and liquid caustic soda devices are all involved, which are mainly concentrated in Shandong and Xinjiang, with a certain support for local prices. in the liquid alkali market, the price in Shandong, the main producing area, may lead to a rise in prices in the surrounding areas, so the price of liquid alkali may still have a small upward trend in the region. From the perspective of the tablet alkali market, the mood in the tablet alkali market is relatively high at present. Tomorrow and the next two days coincide with the announcement of the new order price of the tablet alkali manufacturers in the northwest region. Most operators are still bullish on the market, and judging from the relatively active trading atmosphere and positive mood in the current market, it is expected that the price quoted by the manufacturers will still be raised this week. In addition, the main downstream alumina prices continue to rise high, the market is strong, there is a certain support for the price of caustic soda. Overall, the price of caustic soda may continue to rise slightly.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda main SH2501 contract price continued to rise, the futures price rose more than 2%, the participants were more active at the beginning of the week, the bulls entered the market more obviously, and the bulls obviously suppressed the bears. By the end of the afternoon, the trading situation: 22.7% more than 18.5%, 19.1%, 21.9%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13,13,2) continues to diverge, the KD line at the daily level continues to show a golden fork trend, and the MACD line golden fork trend expands. The futures price once again broke through the track, setting a high in nearly three months, the spot side of the supply side gives some support to the disk, while the short-term basically still has some support in the face of the disk, paying attention to the pressure level on the track.

Caustic soda holds the list: