Caustic soda: Spot prices rose regionally, and futures prices showed five consecutive increases

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2501 contract opening price: 2487, highest price: 2566, lowest price: 2468, position: 31690, settlement price: 2516, yesterday settlement price: 2429, up: 87, closing price: 2533, daily trading volume: 103900 lots, precipitated capital: 482 million, capital inflow: 79.14 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, China's caustic soda market shows an upward trend, the price center of gravity of market transactions in some areas has moved up, traders are mainly shipping before the festival, the situation of receiving goods downstream shows regional differences, and the situation of lukewarm market has slightly improved, and the changes between supply and demand are not obvious. Today, the liquid alkali market is rising, and the supply side gives some support to the market. from the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has increased by 10-40 yuan / ton, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali has increased by 200 yuan / ton, and 49% of the ion-exchange membrane alkali has increased by 10 yuan / ton. the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. In some areas, there is a phenomenon that the starting load of enterprise installations is dissatisfied or stopped, and the local supply of goods has been reduced, coupled with the low inventory pressure of enterprises, which supports the rise of local prices; downstream of individual areas and traders can receive goods, and the price range has moved up. There is no obvious change on both sides of supply and demand in other areas, and the market trading atmosphere mostly maintains the previous level, and the price adjustment is lack of motivation. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious, and a few manufacturers adjust their quotations slightly. In today's tablet alkali market, the ex-factory quotations of individual manufacturers in Xinjiang have been raised, and the latest quotations have not been announced by most manufacturers in the northwest region, so there is little pressure on enterprises' inventory. There are no obvious changes between supply and demand in the market, and most market prices remain stable. The actual transaction price in the market is higher than the ex-factory quotation. Before the National Day holiday, some merchants actively shipped goods.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract price upward mainly, the night market concussion rose slightly, early trading rapid uplink after concussion operation, afternoon trading continued to rise to intraday highs after a slight decline. As of today's close, SH2501 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2468-2566 throughout the day, with a price difference of 98 and a reduction of 2299 positions. So far, 31690 positions have been held.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 9, or 0.315%, to 2865.03 on Sept. 30, while China's caustic soda index rose.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:At present, the spot market of caustic soda has warmed up as a whole, the local liquid alkali market is supported by the negative reduction or parking of local devices, the price shows a small upward trend, there is little change between supply and demand in most areas, and the price continues to operate stably. After the festival, some equipment storage and maintenance plans may provide some support to local prices, and it is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market or regional small upward trend. There has been news in the tablet alkali market in the past two days that Inner Mongolia Wuhai has strictly investigated the pull alkali of trucks, and there may be certain obstacles in the supply of goods, which may boost the market to a certain extent. Superimposed near the National Day holiday, automobile freight costs have risen in some areas, forming a certain positive support to the tablet alkali market, and it is expected that the tablet alkali market may pick up in the short term.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda main SH2501 contract rose continuously, from September 23 to the low of the year, under the policy, the market showed five consecutive rising trend, the current high price at 2566, the high point broke through the track, the disk mood was high and showed a certain long trend, but near the National Day short holiday, participants were unwilling to bear the fluctuation risk caused by the outer disk factors during the holiday, and mostly chose to leave before the holiday. Market turnover: 19.4% more than empty 15.9%, 17.28% more than 20%. The technical level shows that the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) three tracks have a divergent trend, the upper track turns upward, the lower rail turns downward, and the daily KD line and MACD line show a golden fork trend and expand. At present, from the point of view of the market, there is some pressure for the futures price to continue to rise, and the short-term focus on the upper rail pressure level.

Caustic soda holds the list: