Caustic soda: The central bank's heavy positive impact boosted, futures prices bottomed out and rebounded, and spot prices rose slightly regionally

Analysis of caustic soda futures:September 24th SH2501 contract opening price: 2295, highest price: 2345, lowest price: 2275, position: 45646, settlement price: 2305, yesterday settlement: 2278, down: 27, closing price: 2342, daily trading volume: 115260 lots, precipitated capital: 513 million, capital outflow: 71.05 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, China's caustic soda market has risen steadily, the price center of gravity in some areas has moved up slightly, the market in most regions still maintains a stable situation, and the market mentality is cautious. Most of the supply and demand sides are stable and do not play a strong role in guiding the market, and most regions still give priority to flexible price adjustment. Today, the liquid alkali market has mainly risen slightly in the region, the price center of gravity has slightly moved up, and most prices have remained stable. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% ionic membrane alkali has risen 10-16 yuan / ton, 50% ionic membrane alkali has increased 40 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The inventory pressure of enterprises in individual regions is not great, and the price center of gravity rises slightly; the shipment performance of enterprises in some regions of Northwest China is OK, and the transaction price range moves up slightly; high concentration of alkali is boosted by the rise in outer disk prices, and prices rise in some regions. There is no obvious change on both sides of supply and demand in other areas, and the market trading atmosphere mostly maintains the previous level, and the price adjustment is lack of motivation. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious, and a few manufacturers adjust their quotations slightly. Today, the tablet alkali market moves steadily and slightly, the price center of gravity of the Shandong market transaction has moved up, the local alkali equipment has been overhauled, and supported by some tight supply, the merchants have raised the shipping price, and the local price center of gravity has moved up; the new single price in the northwest region has been announced by a small number of enterprises, maintaining last week's level, and most manufacturers have not yet announced it, but the local market transaction price center of gravity has moved up 10-20 yuan / ton slightly, and the market mentality is relatively cautious.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract showed an overall upward trend throughout the day, the night market concussion rose slightly, the price fluctuated slightly in the morning, and showed a rising trend again in the afternoon. As of today's close, the SH2501 contract fluctuates from 2275 to 2345 throughout the day, with a price difference of 70 minus 01 contract to reduce its position by 7640 hands, with 45646 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tudoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 2.75%, or 0.097%, to 2837.52 on Sept. 24, while China's caustic soda index rose.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:Most of the devices operate stably, the inventory pressure of enterprises in some areas is not great, and there is a small support for local prices, but the supply of goods in most markets is sufficient, the role of price guidance is not obvious, and there are regional differences on the supply side. Near the National Day short holiday, there may be stock preparation behavior downstream, but from the current market situation, the stock preparation situation of downstream and traders is relatively limited, the support to the market price may not be obvious, and the price may be adjusted flexibly. Prices in most areas may still operate stably. The price of high concentration alkali rose slightly today, mainly supported by the rising price of the outer disk, the price or the performance is relatively considerable, or led to a small rise in the price of high concentration alkali in other areas. On the whole, the short-term caustic soda market is expected to rise slightly or regionally, and prices in most markets remain stable.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda main SH2501 contract prices showed a long-lost upward trend, the central bank released the reduction of stock mortgage interest rates related news, comprehensively enhance market sentiment, futures prices in the year after the low, and in the overall downward trend of half a month, finally ushered in a bottoming rebound. The short sellers left the market obviously, and the turnover of the disk was 17% more than 14.3%, and 21.2% more than 19.9%. The technical level shows that the opening of the third rail of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) shows signs of narrowing, the upper track turns downward, the KD line at the daily level intersects, and the MACD line shows a dead-fork trend but narrows somewhat. Short-term disk is greatly affected by capital sentiment, and it may continue to rebound under the influence of macro mood.

Caustic soda holds the list: