< img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=2433975083660159&ev=PageView&noscript=1" />

Caustic soda: Spot prices have increased sporadically, and futures prices have fluctuated near the mid-track

0
September 3, 2024, 4:48 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:September 3 SH2501 contract opening price: 2495, highest price: 2519, lowest price: 2466, position: 35931, settlement price: 2490, yesterday settlement: 2518, down: 28, closing price: 2507, daily trading volume: 78413 lots, precipitated capital: 432 million, capital inflow: 11.61 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the price of caustic soda in China has risen sporadically, the market in most regions is mainly wait-and-see, the mentality is relatively cautious, and prices in some regions have risen slightly. The transaction atmosphere in each regional market is general, the enterprise inventory pressure is relatively small, and the enterprise shipping situation is more flexible. Today, prices in most areas of the liquid alkali market remain stable, and the center of gravity of transaction prices in some areas has moved slightly upwards. From the point of view of market price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually increased by 15-20 yuan per ton, while the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The liquid alkali pressure of enterprises in some areas of East China is not great, and the situation of enterprise shipments is OK, and the price is mainly raised slightly. The market operation in most other regions is stable, the supply and demand situation has not changed much, and the price range has not changed significantly for the time being. The upstream production enterprises individually adjust the ex-factory quotations, and most of them wait and see for stable prices. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, enterprise shipments are more flexible, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price range of each regional market. Most of the sheet caustic soda units run stably, some devices are still in shutdown, and the downstream demand has not been significantly improved, maintaining the previous level. The mentality of the merchants is cautious and more wait and see the market.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract concussion operation, night prices down after concussion, the overall market upward in the morning, a small fluctuation in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2501 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2466-2519 throughout the day, with a price difference of 53. 01 contracts with an increase of 740 positions and 35931 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 1.95, or 0.07%, to 2781.56 on Sept. 3, while China's caustic soda index rose.

image.png

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:At present, there is a certain support in the caustic soda market. On the one hand, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, the supply side has a little support, on the other hand, there are some orders, and demand is also boosted to a certain extent. At present, both supply and demand play a positive role. Caustic soda enterprises have a certain price mentality, or have a certain support for prices. In terms of mentality, in September, the expectation of the peak consumption season of Jinjiu still exists. Although the mentality of most operators is currently watching the market, they are somewhat optimistic about the market under the expectation of Jinjiu. Overall, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to rise regionally.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda main SH2501 contract price range concussion operation, the disk slightly increased positions, the disk turnover: more than 17.3% vs. 16.9%, empty 18% vs. 15.6%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) narrows, the KD line of the daily line runs cross-wound, showing no obvious dead fork trend, the MACD line gold fork trend continues to narrow, and the future price shows a longer shadow throughout the day. There is some support to continue to go down, but there is also some pressure above, and short-term attention is paid to the performance near the middle rail.

Caustic soda holds the list:

image.png