Caustic soda: The spot price of Jinjiu rose slightly in the early stage, while the futures price fluctuated downward

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2547, highest price: 2547, lowest price: 2486, position: 35191, settlement price: 2518, yesterday settlement: 2542, down: 24, closing price: 2491, daily trading volume: 59145 lots, precipitated capital: 421 million, capital outflow: 400000.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the trend of China's caustic soda market is upward, and the market welcomes the rising trend of Alloy Nine in early September. The high concentration alkali in the liquid alkali market rises relatively obviously, and the factory quotation in Shandong area is raised at the beginning of the week in the flake alkali market. At the beginning of the week, the market trading atmosphere was OK, and the market mentality in some areas was still relatively cautious. Today, prices in some parts of the liquid alkali market have mainly increased, and the market trading situation is OK. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 10-20 yuan / ton, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 20-60 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. First of all, the load of local equipment in Shandong, the main production area, has slightly increased, and the supply has increased, but the pressure on enterprise inventory is not great, and the enterprise shipment is OK, and the price is relatively stable; enterprise shipments in individual areas can still support the price rise; the increase in high concentration alkali prices is mainly due to an increase in downstream procurement volume. The market operation in other regions is stable, and the price range has not changed significantly for the time being. The upstream production enterprises partially adjust the ex-factory quotation. Today, the price of tablet alkali market rose in some areas, the factory price of tablet alkali in Shandong was raised at the beginning of the week, and the price center of gravity in the local market followed up. A few devices are stopped and overhauled, and most of them operate stably and have no obvious effect on price support. The performance of enterprise shipments is flexible, and the mentality of most businessmen is still more cautious.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2501 contract concussion downward throughout the day, did not see a significant rebound in the market. As of today's close, SH2501 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2486-2547 throughout the day, with a price difference of 61 and a position increase of 687 hands. So far, 35191 positions have been held.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2779.6, up 14.87, or 0.538%, on Sept. 2, while China's caustic soda index rose.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:The time node came to the Golden Nine period, the market showed signs of rising in early September, the liquid alkali market and flake alkali market showed a regional upward trend, and the market turnover in some areas improved. At present, from the point of view of the supply side, the operation of most of the devices is stable, and the previous maintenance devices have been restored, and the overall performance of the supply side is sufficient, but at present, the inventory pressure of enterprises in the main production areas is not great, and there is still some support for the market. From the perspective of downstream demand, the downstream procurement volume of individual areas has increased, supporting local prices. In the later stage, with the deepening of the Jinjiu consumption season, the procurement demand of the downstream industry is expected to increase. On the whole, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to rise slightly.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda main SH2501 contract concussion downward, intraday price low fell below the middle track, there is a small support below. Market turnover: 15.3% more than 18.9% empty, 17.1% flat and 16.8% more flat. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) narrows, the KD line at the daily level crosses, the MACD line gold fork tends to narrow, the futures price shows a slightly longer shadow throughout the day, there is a small support below the futures price, and the short-term focus on the mid-track support level.

Caustic soda holds the list: