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Caustic soda: The price of liquid soda has increased sporadically. The mainstream ex-factory price of flake soda has remained unchanged, and the market continues to climb.

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August 27, 2024, 3:25 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2476, highest price: 2507, lowest price: 2440, position: 10323, settlement price: 2470, yesterday settlement price: 2416, up: 54, closing price: 2503, daily trading volume: 43871 lots, precipitated capital: 124 million, capital outflow: 50.63 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, China's caustic soda market as a whole is stable and small, and the market trading atmosphere is OK. Prices in most areas remain stable. After most market fluctuations yesterday, we will mainly wait and see today. Today, the trend of the liquid alkali market is relatively stable, prices in some regions have risen steadily, and most markets are stable. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually increased by 20 yuan per ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The pressure of liquid alkali inventory of individual regional enterprises in East China is not great, and local prices have risen under the support of the supply side; in most other regions, the market is stable, the price range has not changed significantly, and demand still does not improve substantially. Most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. A small number of upstream production enterprises are slightly up-regulated, while most other manufacturers wait and see for stable prices. Today, the tablet alkali market continues to maintain a stable operation, local traders flexible delivery, transaction prices have not been significantly adjusted for the time being. On the occasion of the announcement of the new order price in the northwest region today and tomorrow, some manufacturers maintained their quotations last week, and the regional markets waited and saw cautiously. At present, most of the devices run stably, and the downstream demand maintains rigid demand, and the wait-and-see mood of the market is still heavy.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract night trading price after a small dive after the shock operation, the morning price rose slightly in the late afternoon, afternoon prices continue to climb, and near the close to the intraday high. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2440-2507 throughout the day, with a price difference of 67 minus 09 contracts to reduce positions by 4408 hands, with 10323 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 1.25%, or 0.046%, to 2742.31 on Aug. 27, while China's caustic soda index rose.

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Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, there has been a certain positive support in the liquid alkali market recently. The pressure on the liquid alkali inventory of chlor-alkali enterprises in Shandong, the main producing area of the supply side and some parts of East China is not great, which has a positive boost to the local market, and the price has risen slightly. As a region with greater impact, the price rise in Shandong, East China and North China has led to a rise in surrounding prices, and the price center of gravity in the liquid alkali market has moved up as a whole. At present, near Jinjiu, there is also a small increase in downstream demand, but there is still no increase in large orders. It is expected that short-term liquid alkali prices may continue to rise slightly in the region, paying attention to the recovery of downstream demand. Tablet alkali market this week northwest mainstream factory quotation to maintain last week's 2700 yuan / ton level, the regional market transaction price range remains unchanged, the market wait-and-see atmosphere does not decrease. The delivery rhythm of traders is relatively flexible, downstream demand to maintain rigid demand, the market is not obviously good to support the market, it is expected that the short-term tablet alkali market may continue to operate stably, operators enter the market more cautiously.

In terms of futures:At present, the main SH2409 contract of caustic soda is strong upward, the overall commodity sentiment is high today, most products are showing an upward trend, the oil sector soared overnight, driving the morale of the chemical market, caustic soda disk is also strong upward, and in the eighth position, up more than 3%. At present, the market for changing positions on caustic soda disk continues, the market continues to reduce positions, and the departure of short positions is more obvious. From the point of view of disk transactions: 12.6% more than empty 13.2%, 20.8% empty and 16.7% more flat. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) is upward, the intersection of the KD line at the daily level shows no obvious golden fork trend, the golden fork trend of the MACD line is expanded, and the price shows a longer shadow throughout the day, and the short-term focus on the middle rail support level.


Caustic soda holds the list:

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