Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2388, highest price: 2478, lowest price: 2353, position: 14731, settlement price: 2416, yesterday settlement: 2443, down: 27, closing price: 2470, daily trading volume: 106653 lots, precipitated capital: 175 million, capital outflow: 27.38 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the center of gravity of China's caustic soda market as a whole is upward, the market trend is OK, the price of liquid caustic soda has risen as a whole, the price of tablet caustic soda has been lowered in individual regions, and there is still some differentiation in the market trend of each region. Today, the liquid alkali market as a whole shows an upward trend, and the market trading atmosphere is OK. Prices have risen in some areas, and there have also been individual falls. From the perspective of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali part rose 15-60 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 20-40 yuan / ton, and individual fell 40 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The price in Shandong, the main producing area, has risen, on the one hand, the inventory pressure of local enterprises has been reduced, on the other hand, the main downstream alumina enterprises have raised the purchase price of liquid alkali, and the price rise in the main producing area has given a certain boost to the surrounding areas, and some areas have followed the rising behavior; there is dissatisfaction with the installation load in some areas of East China, supporting the price rise. The shipping pressure of high concentration alkali price has been alleviated, the price center of gravity has risen slightly, and the price has also been lowered in some areas. The operation of markets in other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Upstream production enterprises in Shandong, North China, East China and other regions manufacturers raised quotations, manufacturers in other regions stable prices wait and see. Today, most of the tablet alkali market maintains a stable trend, and the factory price in Shandong is lowered, and the factory price is 3050 yuan / ton today, and the operation of the local device is stable; the new price of tablet alkali in Northwest China has not been announced at the beginning of the week. there is no obvious change in the transaction price range of each regional market, the market wait-and-see mood is heavy, and the operators are more cautious in entering the market, mostly waiting and seeing the market.
Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract fell to a low at night and rebounded slightly, the price rose quickly in the late morning trading, then continued to rise to the intraday high and then fell slightly, and the afternoon price rose again after a brief extension of the downward market. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in a range of 2353-2478 throughout the day, with a price difference of 125 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 2880 positions and 14731 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 9.14%, or 0.335%, to 2741.06 on Aug. 26, while China's caustic soda index rose.
Future forecast of caustic soda:
Spot aspect:At present, the inventory pressure of chlor-alkali enterprises in Shandong area, the main producing area of liquid alkali market, is not great, and the dissatisfaction of equipment load in some areas in East China can boost the price to a certain extent, and the price rise in Shandong area has a great impact on the surrounding areas. most markets in other areas are mainly flexible to adjust prices, and the market wait-and-see mood still exists. It is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market may still show a small regional upward trend. The factory quotation in Shandong area was lowered at the beginning of the week in the tablet alkali market. after the price of the new unit in the northwest region was lowered last week, the center of gravity of the market transaction price in some areas moved downward, and the merchants' enthusiasm for shipping weakened. At present, most of the tablet alkali devices are stable, and the supply side has relatively little change. Downstream demand has not improved significantly, and the market trading atmosphere is weak. It is expected that there may still be some room for price decline in the short-term tablet alkali market.
In terms of futures:At present, the main contract of caustic soda is still the SH2409 contract, the market of changing positions and changing months is still continuing, the activity of the disk is OK, the short positions leave obviously, and the bulls also have a certain exit behavior, according to the trading situation: 16.8% more than 15.8% open, 20.6% empty and 17.4% more flat. The technical level shows that the trend of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) is smooth, there is no obvious sign of divergence or narrowing, the KD line at the daily level shows a dead fork trend but has narrowed, the MACD line shows a golden fork trend and has been expanded, and the futures price shows a longer shadow throughout the day, showing an upward market today, with more obvious support below, and short-term continued attention to the performance near the middle rail.
Caustic soda holds the list:
