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Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2436, highest price: 2536, lowest price: 2430, position: 23006, settlement price: 2495, yesterday settlement price: 2457, up: 38, closing price: 2503, daily trading volume: 105088 lots, precipitated capital: 276 million, capital outflow: 23.81 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market continues to operate flexibly, prices rise and fall coexist, and the overall wait-and-see atmosphere of the market is still strong. The trading situation in various regional markets is general, the situation of enterprise shipments remains weak and stable, the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is poor, and the market as a whole is cautious. Today, most areas of the liquid alkali market maintain a stable operation, and the price ranges of individual regions are arranged. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 20 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali fell 10-20 yuan / ton, 49% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 30 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The decline in the price of high concentration alkali is mainly due to the decline in export prices, which is also bad for domestic prices; the downstream demand in individual regions of South China is OK, coupled with the relatively small inventory pressure of enterprises, supporting a small increase in local prices; chlor-alkali plants in some areas of East China have reduced load operation, enterprises have a certain price mentality, and prices have risen steadily. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize prices, and some manufacturers adjust their quotations. Today, the tablet alkali market remains stable and wait-and-see, and the situation of enterprise shipments is general. At the beginning of the week, the factory quotation of tablet alkali in Shandong remained stable, the new unit price in the northwest region was not announced for the time being, the price adjustment mentality of various traders was relatively cautious, and the market was more cautious and wait-and-see. The transaction situation has not changed significantly.
Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract night price shock upward; daytime price shock operation, did not see a large operable market. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2430-2536 throughout the day, with a price difference of 106 and a reduction of 2585 positions in the contract, with 23006 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tdd-global data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2733.93, down 1.64, or 0.06%, on August 19, while the domestic caustic soda index fell.
Future forecast of caustic soda:
Spot aspect:The operation of the spot market of caustic soda maintains the situation of interval arrangement, the changes of both sides of supply and demand in most areas are not obvious, the market transaction is general, the price adjustment is more cautious, and the operation of devices in some areas is slightly changed. it has a certain impact on local prices, and the local market fluctuates slightly up and down. At present, the caustic soda market is lack of guiding factors, the supply side is not obviously good, the downstream demand has no signs of improvement, and each region can adjust and operate flexibly. At present, the liquid chlorine market is up and down, some chlor-alkali enterprises' profit situation is poor, enterprises have a certain price mentality, the price may be relatively stable. On the whole, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to maintain the trend of interval consolidation.
In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract price broke through the 2500 mark, brushing a recent one-month high. Short positions continue to close and leave, and the market for changing positions is in progress. According to the trading situation, the opening of 18.6% is higher than that of short opening of 16.2%, and that of short opening of 20.6% is 18.5% higher than that of short opening. The technical level shows that the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) three tracks diverge, the upper track turns upward, the lower rail quickly turns downward, the daily KD line shows a golden fork trend, the MACD line shows a golden fork trend and expands, and the intraday price breaks through the upper rails. The futures price closed at the positive pillar with a longer shadow line throughout the day, and the pressure to continue to rise remains, and pay attention to the upper pressure in the short term.
