Caustic soda: Spot prices increased sporadically, and futures prices hit weekly highs

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2460, highest price: 2478, lowest price: 2438, position: 25591, settlement price: 2457, yesterday settlement price: 2431, up: 26, closing price: 2444, daily trading volume: 70394 lots, precipitated capital: 300 million, capital outflow: 73.58 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, individual prices in the domestic caustic soda market have been raised, and most of them have maintained stable operation. The performance of the market transaction atmosphere is general, enterprise shipments are difficult to release, downstream demand to maintain the previous level. Near the weekend, the overall wait-and-see mood of the market is heavier, prices are mostly arranged and run in a range, and individual flexible adjustments. Today, the liquid alkali market has been sporadically raised, and most markets remain stable and wait-and-see. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-90 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable. The price range has not been significantly adjusted. Local chlor-alkali enterprises in individual areas are dissatisfied with the start-up load, and there is a slight increase in demand, supporting a small rise in local prices; although the supply of goods in the main production areas has increased, the enterprises have a price-raising mentality, and the price as a whole operates steadily. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize prices, and some manufacturers adjust their quotations. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is weak and stable, the quotation of manufacturers is stable, the transaction price range of each regional market has not been significantly adjusted, and most of them maintain the previous level of operation. The enthusiasm of the operators to enter the market is poor, the enterprise shipments are general, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the overall supply and demand sides do not change much, the overall market mentality is cautious, mainly wait and see the market.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract rose after a small fluctuation in the night, and the opening high of the morning price fell somewhat, followed by a second upward trend, but the lack of power once again showed a downward trend and fluctuated in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2438-2478 throughout the day, with a price difference of 40 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 6052 positions and 25591 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tdd-global data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2735.57, up 4.73%, or 0.173%, and the domestic caustic soda index rose.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:Near the weekend market mentality tends to be more cautious, most operators do not have a high enthusiasm to enter the market, mainly wait and see the market. From a fundamental point of view, the supply side is expected to increase the supply stock in the main production area in the later stage, but when the shipment of some enterprises is not smooth, there may still be price reduction to promote shipment. although there are still a small number of equipment maintenance in the later stage, but at the same time, the early maintenance equipment is restored, the market starts or changes slightly as a whole, and there are regional differences. Downstream demand as a whole to maintain the tepid trend, terminal demand upward transmission is limited, it is difficult to have a significant improvement in the short term. It is expected that the short-term caustic soda market or regional changes, regional price range flexible adjustment.

In terms of futures:The intraday high of caustic soda SH2409 contract price continued to rise and refreshed the weekly high. Short positions continue to close and leave, disk reduction operation, disk turnover: 12.1% more than short opening 18.8%, empty 21.6% compared with 17.8%. The technical level shows that the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continue to narrow, the KD line at the daily line level shows a golden fork trend, and the MACD line shows a golden fork trend, and the intraday price high goes up close to the upper track, and the low point also goes up above the middle rail. However, the overall upward thrust of the futures price is insufficient, and the upper pressure is still large, showing a downward trend after the intraday high. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the trend near the middle track.

Caustic soda holds the list: