Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2399, highest price: 2423, lowest price: 2364, position: 33381, settlement price: 2393, yesterday settlement: 2396, down: 3, closing price: 2413, daily trading volume: 115975 lots, precipitated capital: 387 million, capital outflow: 36.7 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the price of domestic caustic soda market shows regional adjustment, and the mentality of price adjustment is slightly different, the price in some areas rises slightly, the local price center of gravity moves down, and the price adjustment is mainly concentrated in the low concentration alkali market. the operation of high concentration alkali and tablet alkali market is relatively stable, and there is no obvious change in the price range. Today, the trading performance of the liquid alkali market is mediocre. The market in most regions is stable, and a few prices have been slightly adjusted. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually increased by 10 yuan / ton and partially dropped by 16-80 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The shipping pressure of enterprises in individual areas has declined, and some local enterprises are dissatisfied with the installation load, which has a certain support to the local market, and the price has moved up slightly; the inventory of enterprises in some areas of eastern China has an increasing trend, and the downstream demand is lukewarm, which is a drag on the market mentality, and the price center of gravity of the local market transaction has moved down. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize prices, and some manufacturers adjust their quotations. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market remains stable, the transaction price range of each regional market has not been adjusted, most of the new order prices in the northwest region have been announced to maintain last week's level, and the market mentality has been cautious.
Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract night market concussion operation, the morning price first rose and then fell, the late afternoon price rose again, the afternoon price continued to rise late in the morning. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2364-2423 throughout the day, with a price difference of 59 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 3367 positions and 33381 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tdd-global data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2725.37, down 14.87, or 0.543%, on August 14, while the domestic caustic soda index fell.
Future forecast of caustic soda:
Spot aspect:Recently, most of the caustic soda spot market operates with regional changes. At present, the operation of most chlor-alkali plants is relatively stable, and there is dissatisfaction with the load in some areas. In addition, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, which has a small support to the local price. The local enterprise inventory has an increasing trend, which has a negative impact on the local market, and the price may still have a small downward trend. Downstream demand still did not see a significant improvement trend, the main downstream alumina start is still limited, prices are high, the overall change in non-aluminum demand is also small, more to maintain the tepid situation in the early stage. It is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to maintain the trend of regional flexible adjustment.
In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract as a whole fell first and then rose, today's short positions left the market is relatively obvious, the market transaction situation: more than 17.3% versus 17.8%, 21.3% compared with 17.5%. The technical level shows that the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) show signs of narrowing, the KD line at the daily level shows a dead fork trend but slightly narrowed, the MACD line shows a golden fork trend, and the low price falls below the track, brushing the recent half-moon low. Late morning to afternoon prices rose more significantly, repairing the morning decline. The all-day price closed at the positive pillar with a longer shadow line, the futures price continued to fall or there was some support, the upward pressure above was relatively small, and the short-term caustic soda price continued to pay attention to the performance near the middle track.
Caustic soda holds the list:
