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Caustic soda: Spot prices are stable and declining, most of them are operating in stability, and the market is reducing positions

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August 13, 2024, 5:44 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2395, highest price: 2425, lowest price: 2373, position: 36910, settlement price: 2396, yesterday settlement: 2416, down: 20, closing price: 2400, daily trading volume: 102795 lots, precipitated capital: 425 million, capital outflow: 35.7 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market moves steadily, prices in some areas show a slight decline, and most markets are stable. The market transaction atmosphere is general, the price adjustment mentality is relatively cautious; the wait-and-see mood of each regional industry is heavy, and the operation of entering the market is relatively cautious. At present, the supply side shows regional changes, and the downstream demand remains calm and stable, still not significantly improving. Today, the trend of the liquid alkali market is stable and declining, the market trading atmosphere is general, and most markets are stable. Judging from the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped by 10 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. Prices in Shandong, the main producing area, fell slightly, the performance of local enterprises was average, the enthusiasm of downstream and traders in receiving goods was poor, and the inventory pressure of some local enterprises increased; although the supply and demand situation in some areas did not change much, the downstream demand was poor, and local prices fell slightly. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize prices, and some manufacturers adjust their quotations. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, the quotations of individual manufacturers in Xinjiang have been raised, and the new order prices of most manufacturers in Inner Mongolia have not been announced yet. At present, the actual transaction prices in most markets are slightly lower than those quoted by manufacturers. Most of the devices operate stably, some are under maintenance, but the market support is relatively not obvious, the regional markets continue to operate steadily, operators are more cautious and wait-and-see, and the market trading atmosphere is weak.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract night market concussion, the morning price concussion uplink after falling, afternoon small fluctuations. There is no big operable market all day. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2373-2425 throughout the day, with a price difference of 52 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 3233 positions and 36910 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tdd-global data, on August 13, the domestic caustic soda index was 2740.24, down 0.42, or 0.015%, and the domestic caustic soda index fell.

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Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:At present, the price of caustic soda market as a whole shows the trend of interval arrangement, the local market is mainly flexibly adjusted by the changes of local supply and demand, the wait-and-see mentality of operators in most areas is heavy, and there is a lack of guiding factors in the market at present. The devices of early maintenance or load reduction on the supply side have been restored one after another recently, and there are few new maintenance devices, so there is no obvious benefit in the supply for the time being. At present, the time node is approaching the middle of August, and it is only half a month before Jinjiu is expected, but there is still no sign of improvement in the downstream demand in the near future. on the contrary, the enthusiasm of enterprises in the alumina industry is relatively high driven by high profits. however, due to the slow recovery affected by the tight supply of bauxite, we should pay attention to the recovery of the demand of various industries downstream in the later stage. It is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to maintain the status quo.

Caustic soda holds the list:

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