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Caustic soda: Spot prices were mixed, most of them were stable and wait-and-see, and the market rose slightly

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August 9, 2024, 4:29 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2412, highest price: 2473, lowest price: 2384, position: 39123, settlement price: 2425, yesterday settlement: 2452, down: 27, closing price: 2457, daily trading volume: 157340 lots, precipitated capital: 461 million, capital outflow: 47.36 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market maintains a range of consolidation trend, near the weekend, most operators are cautious, there is no obvious price adjustment action, the market more to maintain a wait-and-see mentality. The supply and demand of each region has not changed much for the time being, the demand has not improved substantially, the shipments of traders are general, and the overall market transaction situation is poor. Today, the price of liquid alkali market is adjusted in some areas, and the mentality of price adjustment is slightly different. the price of low concentration alkali is reduced individually, while the price of high concentration alkali is raised separately. from the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has dropped 10-20 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali has increased 10-20 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. Downstream demand in individual areas is flat, and traders and downstream enterprises receive goods poorly, so some local enterprises reduce shipping prices, and the market transaction price center also moves downwards; individual high concentration alkali prices are mainly tentatively raised, and the overall wait-and-see mood is heavier. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price range has not changed significantly for the time being, demand still does not see a substantial improvement, and most downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, and a few manufacturers adjust their quotations. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is stable, the merchant shipments are general, and the transaction price range of each regional market is stable. The operation of most devices in upstream production enterprises is stable, individual devices resume start-up, and manufacturers sign orders in general; downstream demand maintains the trend of rigid demand procurement. The overall turnover of the market remains lukewarm.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract shock uplink finishing, the opening price of night trading fell slightly to the intraday low after concussion operation, the price of futures fluctuated upward in the morning and fluctuated slightly in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2384-2473 throughout the day, with a price difference of 89 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 4784 positions and 39123 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2745.72 on August 9, up 2.52%, or 0.092%, and the domestic caustic soda index rose.

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Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:Short-term caustic soda market or maintain the current trend of operation, the price of multi-range shock finishing. The market lacks substantive support, the maintenance of individual devices on the supply side is not enough to support a reversal in the market, and the weak market may continue for a period of time. At present, both supply and demand can not boost the market, the regional market is still lack of guiding factors, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market or weak consolidation and operation.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract slightly reduced position operation, futures prices rebounded slightly today, but the overall is still in the middle of the track near a small fluctuation, today's disk low refresh week low. Short sellers continue to close their positions and leave the market, and the turnover of the market is 16.8% higher than that of 18.5% higher than that of short positions, and that of short positions of 22% is 18.2% higher than that of short positions. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues to narrow, the middle and lower tracks turn upward, and the daily KD line and MACD line show a golden fork trend. Futures prices closed all day in the lower shadow line slightly longer positive pillar, there is support in the downward price, there is also pressure on the upside, short-term prices or up and down dilemma, pay attention to the performance near the middle track.

Caustic soda holds the list:

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