Caustic soda: The spot market is in a dilemma of ups and downs. A few have flexible adjustments. The high point of futures prices is close to the upward trajectory but lacks sufficient motivation

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2434, highest price: 2491, lowest price: 2430, position: 43920, settlement price: 2461, yesterday settlement price: 2452, up: 9, closing price: 2451, daily trading volume: 92534 lots, precipitated capital: 517 million, capital outflow: 33.97 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market is adjusted sporadically, the prices in a few areas are adjusted flexibly up and down, the market in most areas is in a dilemma of rise and fall, the price is stable, and the market mentality is cautious. The performance of trading in various regions is average, the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is not high, and still maintain a wait-and-see mentality. Today, there is a slight price adjustment in individual areas of the liquid alkali market, and there are certain differences in price adjustment mentality, and the market transaction atmosphere is general. From the perspective of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped 10 yuan / ton, 49% of the ionic membrane alkali has increased by 10 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The supply of liquid alkali in individual areas is relatively sufficient, while the performance of downstream demand is relatively poor, which is negative to local prices to a certain extent, so the center of gravity of transaction prices has slightly shifted downwards; after prices in individual areas rose yesterday, traders and downstream enterprises declined in enthusiasm for receiving goods, so prices fell slightly. The downstream demand in most other areas maintains the pace of lukewarm rigid demand procurement, the overall shipping situation of liquid alkali enterprises is general, and the supply and demand sides of each region are basically stable. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, and a few manufacturers adjust their quotations, and there are differences in the direction of price adjustment. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, the regional market transaction price range is still not significantly adjusted, more to maintain the previous level of operation. The mentality of traders is relatively cautious, they are not willing to adjust the shipping price, and the situation of receiving goods downstream is generally stable. Most operators still wait and see the market, and the operation of entering the market is more cautious.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract after the opening of night trading quickly up after concussion, early trading prices rushed to the intraday high and then fell, afternoon prices fluctuated slightly. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2430-2491 throughout the day, with a price difference of 61 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 2964 positions and 43920 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tdd-global data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2761.71, down 2.94, or 0.106%, on August 6, and the domestic caustic soda index fell.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:At present, the caustic soda market is in a dilemma between rising and falling, and there is no obvious positive factor support for the spot market in the near future, and the supply side of equipment maintenance in some areas still has some support to the market, but now there is a certain negative mentality, the price rising power is insufficient, and most of them operate in a stable situation; on the contrary, if the downward channel of the market is not opened, the market will not show an obvious downward trend for the time being, or run in an interval. It should be noted that at present, the inventory of some production enterprises in the main producing areas has increased, and the overall market supply is relatively sufficient, while the downstream demand still has not significantly improved, while the current price weakness of liquid chlorine is obvious, and the price-raising mentality of chlor-alkali enterprises is relatively obvious. the market is intertwined with good and bad, and it is expected that the short-term market or maintain interval consolidation and operation.

In terms of futures:The high price of caustic soda SH2409 contract has risen to its highest level in nearly two weeks, but the market has fallen back after reaching the high point. The departure of short positions is relatively obvious today, and the volume turnover is 15.5% higher than that of short positions, 17.4% higher than that of short positions, and 17.9% more than that of short positions and 21.4%. The technical level shows that the opening of the third rail of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues to narrow, the lower rail continues to turn upward, and the daily KD line and MACD line show a golden fork trend. The futures price closed at the positive pillar with a long shadow line throughout the day. Judging from the operation of the market today, there is still greater pressure on the upward price. Although the bears have a position in the capital, the fundamentals are not enough driven by the market as a whole, and the short-term price pays attention to the mid-track support level.

Caustic soda holds the list: