Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2409 contract opening price: 2385, highest price: 2443, lowest price: 2364, position: 54999, settlement price: 2404, yesterday settlement price: 2364, up: 40, closing price: 2439, daily trading volume: 140434 lots, precipitated capital: 644 million, capital outflow: 50.74 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the trend of the domestic caustic soda market continues to show differential operation, a few regional markets flexibly adjust prices mainly, local prices continue to rise slightly, individual regional prices fall, operators in most areas hold a wait-and-see mentality, and the operation of entering the market is relatively cautious. Today, the liquid alkali market maintains a stable trend in most areas, and the price range in a few areas is adjusted slightly. From the point of view of the regional market price adjustment, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has been locally increased by 10-30 yuan / ton, and 50% of the ionic membrane alkali has been reduced by 10 yuan / ton individually. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. There is a slight change in supply and demand in local areas, which affects the flexible adjustment and operation of local prices up and down; the downstream demand in most areas maintains the pace of lukewarm rigid demand procurement, the overall shipping situation of liquid alkali enterprises is general, and the supply and demand sides of each region are basically stable. Most of the upstream manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price, and the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious. Today, the price of tablet alkali market fell regionally, the price of new order in Northwest China was mainly reduced this week, the mainstream factory quotation was 2800 yuan / ton, and the transaction price in some areas followed by the lower shipping price. The overall market transaction situation is general, market participants are relatively cautious, more flexible price reduction to promote transactions.
Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract shock uplink throughout the day, a rebound in the market. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2364-2443 throughout the day, with a price difference of 79 minus 09 contracts with a reduction of 5805 positions and 54999 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2772.81, up 0.24, or 0.009%, on July 31, and the domestic caustic soda index rose.
Future forecast of caustic soda:
Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, the time node came to the end of July and the beginning of August, when the purchase price of liquid alkali was announced by downstream alumina enterprises, most of the operators were more cautious and did not have a high enthusiasm for entering the market. At present, the performance of supply and demand in different regions of the market is different, and the short-term liquid alkali market is expected to maintain a flexible price adjustment. In terms of tablet alkali, the price of the new order in the northwest region has been reduced this week, the market price in some areas has been lowered, the actual transaction price of some manufacturers is lower than the ex-factory quotation, the wait-and-see mentality in the market is still heavy, and the shipments of merchants are light. Do not rule out the possibility that there will still be a reduction in the later period.
In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract price rebounded slightly, short positions left the market obviously, today's trading situation: open 18% more than short 16.7%, short 22.8% versus 18.5%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) continues downward, the KD line at the daily line level shows a golden fork trend, the MACD line shows a dead fork trend but obviously narrows, and the futures price closes at the longer negative column of the lower shadow line throughout the day. Today's futures price rebounded, the high point is close to the middle track, and the support below is relatively obvious. Pay attention to the mid-rail pressure level in the short term.
Caustic soda holds the list:
