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Ethanol: On July 31, the domestic ethanol market will stabilize prices and wait and see

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July 31, 2024, 4:38 PM

On July 31, the general ethanol price index was 5,925.5, maintaining stability.

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Today, the domestic ethanol market stabilizes prices and waits and sees. Hot spots on July 31:1. The Northeast region is operating weakly and stably. 2. Stable operation of the market in East China. 3. Central China is running steadily. 4. The domestic market price of ethyl acetate rose slightly. Major factories in Shandong bid for sales, and the starting price was raised. The atmosphere for premium transactions was good.

Specifically, the Northeast region is operating weakly and steadily, and new orders are traded smoothly. Today's reference price in Jilin: The price of general-grade corn ethanol is 5,650 - 5,700 yuan/ton, and the price of anhydrous corn ethanol is 6,300 - 6,550 yuan/ton. Heilongjiang reference price: general price 5,500 - 5,550 yuan/ton, waterless price 6,100 - 6,200 yuan/ton. Jinzhou general reference price is 5,850 - 5,900 yuan/ton. The East China market is operating stably, with low enthusiasm for downstream terminal procurement, and slow on-site shipments. Today's reference price in northern Jiangsu: general reference price is 5950 yuan/ton, anhydrous ginseng is 6,600 - 6,700 yuan/ton, including tax. Reference price in southern Jiangsu: general reference price 6,050 - 6,300 yuan/ton. Reference price in Anhui: general reference price 6100-6200 yuan/ton. Reference price in Shandong region: reference for general grade wheat is 5,800 - 5,830 yuan/ton. Central China is running steadily, with average vehicles in front of the factory, and downstream operators just need to purchase and enter the market. Henan reference price: premium reference is 5850 yuan/ton, waterless reference is 6,600 - 6,650 yuan/ton.

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Aftermarket forecast: The domestic ethanol market is expected to operate weakly and stably in the short term. In terms of edible ethanol: weak and stable operation, the demand side remains weak, and market prices are deadlocked. In terms of coal-to-ethanol: stable and weak, coal-to-ethanol is still at a high inventory level. In terms of absolute ethanol: The downstream of the terminal needs to be replenished, and we must enter the market cautiously. Fuel ethanol: The weakness is difficult to change, demand remains weak, and sellers have a strong shipment sentiment.

Raw materials:Corn market prices are stabilizing, traders are still enthusiastic about shipping, terminal downstream demand is weak, and on-site goods are not large. DDGS prices are stable and weak, and downstream operators in the market terminal market have a strong wait-and-see attitude. The price of dried cassava has remained stable recently, and the cost of cassava alcohol has been relatively stable.

Supply:Huaxing, Mengzhou, Henan Province, has been suspended for maintenance; Meihekou Fukang Line 4 is scheduled to stop production next week; Ruiyang, Chifeng, Inner Mongolia, has been suspended for maintenance, and the Hongzhan Bayan factory has been suspended for maintenance; Heilongjiang Wanli Runda has been put into operation today, with an expected increase in supply; Jilin Xintianlong has been suspended for maintenance, and SDIC Helen is expected to be repaired this week.

Requirements:whiteIn the off-season of wine procurement, downstream chemical industries replenish warehouses on demand.

Logistics:Freight rates have gradually stabilized.

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