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Ethanol: The domestic ethanol market will stabilize on July 30

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July 30, 2024, 5:11 PM

On July 30, the general ethanol price index was 5,925.5, maintaining stability.

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Today, the domestic ethanol market is stabilizing. Hot spots on July 30:1. The Northeast region is operating weakly and stably. 2. The market in East China is temporarily operating steadily. 3. Central China is running steadily. 4. The domestic market price of ethyl acetate is stable and strong. Major factories in Shandong are bidding for sales, and the starting price is stable. The rising price of raw material acetic acid has boosted the market, and on-site transactions are acceptable.

Specifically speaking, the Northeast region is operating weakly and stably, with average demand performance, and the Heilongjiang market has been consolidated within a narrow range. Today's reference price in Jilin: The price of general-grade corn ethanol is 5,650 - 5,700 yuan/ton, and the price of anhydrous corn ethanol is 6,300 - 6,550 yuan/ton. Heilongjiang reference price: general price 5,500 - 5,550 yuan/ton, waterless price 6,100 - 6,200 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton from the previous working day. Jinzhou general reference price is 5,850 - 5,900 yuan/ton. The East China market is temporarily operating stably, and the enthusiasm for downstream terminal procurement is not high, and terminal procurement just needs to enter the market. Today's reference price in northern Jiangsu: general reference price is 5950 yuan/ton, anhydrous ginseng is 6,600 - 6,700 yuan/ton, including tax. Reference price in southern Jiangsu: general reference price 6,050 - 6,300 yuan/ton. Reference price in Anhui: general reference price 6100-6200 yuan/ton. Reference price in Shandong region: reference for general grade wheat is 5,800 - 5,830 yuan/ton. Central China is running steadily, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm is not high. Henan reference price: premium reference is 5850 yuan/ton, waterless reference is 6,600 - 6,650 yuan/ton.

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Aftermarket forecast: The domestic ethanol market is expected to operate weakly and stably in the short term. In terms of edible ethanol: The general trend is stabilizing, the trading atmosphere on the market is not good, and the downstream of the terminal is mainly in need of procurement. In terms of coal-to-ethanol: The starting price of coal-to-ethanol continues to decline. In terms of absolute ethanol: The shippers are not well shipping, and there is still inventory pressure. Fuel ethanol: Stability is weak, demand remains weak, and sellers have a strong shipment sentiment.

Raw materials:Corn market prices are stable and weak. Recently, there have been many hot and rainy weather, making it difficult to store grain. Traders are still motivated to ship, and a small amount of goods are shipped at a reasonable price. DDGS prices are stable and weak, and downstream operators in the market terminal market have a strong wait-and-see attitude. The price of dried cassava has remained stable recently, and the cost of cassava alcohol has been relatively stable.

Supply:Huaxing, Mengzhou, Henan Province, has been suspended for maintenance; Meihekou Fukang Line 4 is scheduled to stop production next week; Ruiyang, Chifeng, Inner Mongolia, has been suspended for maintenance, Hongzhan Bayan factory has been suspended for maintenance, and Wanli Runda, Heilongjiang has been suspended for maintenance, which is expected to be repaired in 15 days; Jilin Xintianlong has been suspended for maintenance, and SDIC Helen is expected to be repaired this week.

Requirements:whiteIn the off-season of wine procurement, downstream chemical industries replenish warehouses on demand.

Logistics:Freight rates have gradually stabilized.image.png