Caustic soda: The spot market stabilizes prices and waits, the price of liquid chlorine is subsidized, and the futures price has achieved three consecutive increases

Analysis of caustic soda futures:July 26th SH2409 contract opening price: 2412, highest price: 2447, lowest price: 2385, position: 64094, settlement price: 2421, yesterday settlement: 2398, down: 23, closing price: 2386, daily trading volume: 145115 lots, precipitated capital: 734 million, capital inflow: 30.99 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, there is a strong wait-and-see mood in the domestic caustic soda market, there is no obvious fluctuation in various regional markets, a few adjustments have been made in the quotations of manufacturers, and most of the market transaction prices have not changed obviously. near the weekend, the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is not high, the overall cautious wait-and-see market, supply and demand sides have not seen obvious changes. The trading atmosphere in today's liquid alkali market is general, and prices maintain yesterday's level. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, the prices of various concentrations of alkali, such as 32% ionic membrane alkali and 50% ionic membrane alkali, remain almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The maintenance of some equipment is coming to an end, the downstream demand in most areas maintains the pace of lukewarm rigid demand procurement, the overall shipping situation of liquid alkali enterprises is general, and the supply and demand sides in each region are basically stable. Most of the upstream manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price, and the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is stable, a few devices are still under maintenance, and most of them are stable. Downstream demand rigid demand procurement, merchant shipments are lukewarm, the market transaction price range in some areas has moved down, the transaction situation in other regions has almost maintained the previous level, and the wait-and-see mood of operators is heavier.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract first rose and then fell, and then shock operation. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2385-2447 throughout the day, with a price difference of 62 minus 09 contracts with an increase of 3368 positions and 64094 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, on July 26, the domestic caustic soda index was 2782.66, down 0%, and the domestic caustic soda index was stable.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, the center of gravity of the liquid alkali price has moved slightly downward recently, and the support of both supply and demand to the market is not obvious for the time being, but at present, the price of liquid chlorine continues to decline, and even the situation of subsidized freight, so that some chlor-alkali enterprises have begun to reduce their load production, while in the later stage, some enterprises may still have negative expectations, coupled with the same continuous decline in PVC prices, the profits of chlor-alkali enterprises have been continuously compressed, and the positive price mentality of enterprises has gradually emerged. It is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market or interval shock operation, the market wait-and-see mood is heavier. In the tablet alkali market, the stability of the new order price this week has aggravated the wait-and-see mood of the market. The wait-and-see mood of each regional market has increased day by day since the middle and first ten days of July, and the trend of regional price decline this week has gradually emerged, and the previous maintenance equipment has been restored one after another. Individual devices still have maintenance plans in the later stage, but it is not enough to support the market. It is expected that the short-term tablet alkali market may continue to operate weakly.

In terms of futures:After the caustic soda SH2409 contract price hit bottom, it showed a trend of three small rises and rebounds, and today's turnover: 17.6% more than 20.4% empty, 18.8% flat and 18.4% more flat. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) is downward, the KD line of the daily line shows a golden fork trend, the MACD line shows a dead fork trend but has narrowed, the disk has risen three times in a row, and the price has closed at the positive pillar with a long shadow line throughout the day, there is still some pressure on the upside. In the short term, pay attention to whether the futures price has the incentive to continue to rise.

Caustic soda holds the list: