Caustic soda: Market increased positions downward, short positions entered the market significantly, and spot prices remained stable

Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2405 contract opening price: 2553, highest price: 2561, lowest price: 2534, position: 58392, settlement price: 2547, yesterday settlement: 2553, down: 6, closing price: 2558, daily trading volume: 45710 lots, precipitated capital: 710 million, capital inflow: 53.46 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market has a strong wait-and-see mood, there is no obvious fluctuation in each regional market, and the price ranges of manufacturers' quotations and market transactions are sorted out. Near the weekend, the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is not high, and the overall cautious wait-and-see market is dominant. There is no obvious change on both supply and demand sides. The trading atmosphere in today's liquid alkali market is general, and prices maintain yesterday's level. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, the prices of various concentrations of alkali, such as 32% ionic membrane alkali and 50% ionic membrane alkali, remain almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The downstream demand in most areas maintains the pace of lukewarm rigid demand procurement, the shipment of liquid alkali enterprises is stable and the overall situation is general, and the supply and demand sides of each region are basically stable. Most of the upstream manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price, and the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is stable, some of the devices are still under maintenance, and most of the devices are stable. Downstream demand rigid demand procurement, merchant shipments are lukewarm, regional transactions almost maintain the previous level. Prices in various regions are operating stably for the time being, and the wait-and-see mood of the industry is heavier.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract concussion downward, night futures prices fluctuated slightly, late trading decline, morning price shocks, afternoon downside. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2534-2561 throughout the day, with a price difference of 27 points and an increase of 5027 positions in contracts with a position of 58392 hands so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2807.24 on July 19, up 0%, and the domestic caustic soda index was stable.

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:Near the weekend, the market as a whole is stable and wait-and-see, and the enthusiasm for entering the market is limited as a whole. In the later stage of the supply side, some devices still have maintenance plans, coupled with the devices that are still parking, the operating rate of caustic soda enterprises is still expected to decline slightly in the later stage, which still supports the price to a certain extent. The overall procurement situation of downstream demand has not changed significantly for the time being, maintaining rigid demand procurement is dominant, and it is difficult to improve significantly in the short term. From the point of view of the profits of chlor-alkali enterprises, the price of liquid chlorine has fallen again recently, PVC prices are also running low, and the profits of chlor-alkali enterprises are compressed, there is a certain state of mind. On the whole, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to adjust prices flexibly, and the operators' mentality is more cautious.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract continues to run weakly, showing a continuous downward trend from last Friday to Tuesday, hitting a low of 2530 on Tuesday, rebounding slightly after hitting the bottom, and then showing a low shock, repeatedly testing the trend of the low range. Today, the entry of bears is still quite obvious, and the futures price shows a downward trend again, and the turnover is 13.9% higher than that of 23.4% higher than that of short opening, and 16.6% of short selling is more than 12.1%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) continues downward, and the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a dead-fork trend, and there is pressure for the price to continue to rise. Short-term or continue to test the low range.

Caustic soda holds the list: