< img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=2433975083660159&ev=PageView&noscript=1" />

Caustic soda: The market level fluctuated at a low level, the wait-and-see sentiment in the spot market intensified, and prices stabilized.

130,869
July 17, 2024, 4:41 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2405 contract opening price: 2566, highest price: 2585, lowest price: 2553, position: 52765, settlement price: 2570, yesterday settlement price: 2551, up: 19, closing price: 2558, daily trading volume: 55622 lots, precipitated capital: 648 million, capital outflow: 10.31 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the operation of the domestic caustic soda market is stable, the quotation of manufacturers in various regions and the market transaction price range have not been significantly adjusted, the mentality of operators is cautious, and the market wait-and-see mood increases. The market transaction atmosphere maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, and the price is stable. Today's liquid alkali prices maintain yesterday's level of operation, market fluctuations are not obvious, from the regional market price adjustment, 32% ionic membrane alkali, 50% ionic membrane alkali and other concentrations of alkali prices remain almost stable, the price range has not been significantly adjusted. A small number of devices are still in the state of parking, and most of them operate stably. Although the pressure of liquid alkali inventory in some areas is not great, the overall supply of goods on the market is relatively sufficient, while the downstream demand performance has not significantly improved, and most of them maintain lukewarm and lukewarm operation. Enterprise shipments are general. A small number of upstream manufacturers adjust their quotations, and there are differences in price adjustment mentality, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize prices. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is smooth, most devices operate normally, the supply is relatively stable in stages, and the downstream is dominated by rigid demand procurement, the market continues to maintain a stable operation, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong.

Caustic soda futures analysis:The night price of caustic soda SH2409 contract fluctuated slightly after rising, rebounded after a small dive in early trading, then fluctuated again, and the afternoon price fluctuated again after a small dive. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2553-2585 throughout the day, with a price difference of 32 minus 09 contracts to reduce their positions by 548 hands, with 52765 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2808.64 on July 17, up 0%, and the domestic caustic soda index was stable.

image.png

Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, the price center of gravity in some areas has moved slightly upward recently, the wait-and-see mood of most operators has increased, and the market has gradually become more stable. From the point of view of the supply port, the early maintenance equipment in Shandong, the main production area, has been restored recently, and a small number of devices are still under maintenance, and there are certain differences in supply in different regions; the overall downstream demand has maintained a steady operation, and the enthusiasm of downstream and traders to receive goods is general. It is expected that the short-term price of liquid alkali may be adjusted flexibly. In the tablet alkali market, there are still devices in the northwest region during the maintenance period, and the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, and there is still some support for prices, but the performance of the demand side is light, and the shipping situation of enterprises is not good. The boosting effect of the supply side on the market has been weakened to a certain extent in the case of poor demand. At present, the tablet alkali market is deadlocked, and the operators are in a strong wait-and-see mood. It is expected that the price of the tablet alkali market may be stable in the short term, and the trading atmosphere in the market is weak.

In terms of futures:Caustic soda SH2409 contract concussion, futures low upward. Today's trading: 16.6% more than empty 15.2%, 17.8% flat compared with 17.7%, within the day long and short positions are relatively obvious. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) continues downward, the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a dead-fork trend, and there is pressure for the price to continue to rise, short-term or continue to test the low range.

Caustic soda holds the list:

image.png