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Caustic soda: Spot prices have increased sporadically, market mentality has been cautious, and futures prices have hit a new low for the year

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July 16, 2024, 4:28 PM


Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2405 contract opening price: 2558, highest price: 2579, lowest price: 2530, position: 53313, settlement price: 2551, yesterday settlement: 2576, down: 25, closing price: 2572, daily trading volume: 85292 lots, precipitated capital: 658 million, capital inflow: 8.23 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the domestic caustic soda market rises sporadically, the market trading atmosphere is general, the willingness of manufacturers and traders to adjust prices is not high, the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is general, and the market as a whole is mainly cautious and wait-and-see. Today, the liquid alkali market has been individually raised. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ion-exchange membrane alkali has been raised by 10-25 yuan per ton, 50% of ion-exchange membrane alkali has increased by 30 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The main downstream alumina enterprises in Shandong have raised the purchase price of liquid alkali to support the upward movement of the price center of gravity in the local market; equipment in individual areas have been overhauled, and the supply side has supported the local liquid alkali price; the market operation in other regions is relatively stable, and the price center of gravity in each region has not changed significantly, the downstream demand in most areas is flat, the shipping situation of liquid alkali enterprises is general, and the transaction situation mostly maintains the previous level. A small number of upstream manufacturers adjust their quotations, and there are differences in price adjustment mentality, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize prices. Today, the tablet alkali market continues to maintain a stable operation, market shipments are general, regional transaction price center of gravity has not changed significantly, manufacturers sign orders in general. Part of the equipment is still under maintenance, downstream rigid demand procurement, operators more cautious wait-and-see.

Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract showed a "U" trend, the night market price down after the shock operation, afternoon prices showed an upward trend. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2530-2579 throughout the day, with a price gap of 49 and a position increase of 482 hands, with 53313 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, the domestic caustic soda index was 2808.64 on July 16, up 5.09%, or 0.182%, and the domestic caustic soda index rose.

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Future forecast of caustic soda:

Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, at present, the enthusiasm of operators in the liquid alkali market as a whole is not high, most markets hold a wait-and-see mentality, most of the market supply and demand in most areas maintain the previous level of operation, the willingness of enterprises and businessmen to adjust prices is not high, prices or more maintain a stable trend, a few areas have equipment restoration and maintenance, have a certain impact on local prices, prices or flexible adjustment. In the tablet alkali market, there are still a few devices in the tablet alkali enterprises that have not yet been restored during overhaul, and the inventory pressure of the manufacturers is not great, but the performance of signing orders and shipments is general, and the lower reaches mainly maintain rigid demand purchases. the short-term market or maintain the current state of operation, the market may be stable and small.

In terms of futures:The contract price of caustic soda SH2409 hit a new low of 2530 for the year, and the price closed at the positive pillar with a longer shadow line throughout the day, and there was some support for the disk to continue to decline. Today, the bears are still relatively active, but they also inject a lot of less strength, and the trading volume is 15.4% higher than that of the short market, 19.6% higher than that of the short market, and 19.1% more than the level of the market. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues downward, the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a dead-forked trend, the overall trend of futures price remains downward, short-term caustic soda price or continue to test the low range.

Caustic soda holds the list:

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