Analysis of caustic soda futures:SH2405 contract opening price: 2590, highest price: 2594, lowest price: 2558, position: 52831, settlement price: 2576, yesterday settlement: 2601, down: 25, closing price: 2563, daily trading volume: 71533 lots, precipitated capital: 650 million, capital inflow: 3.5 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Spot analysis of caustic soda:Today, the trend of the domestic caustic soda market is different, the price of liquid caustic soda rises and falls alternately, the price adjustment mentality of enterprises is different, the operation of the tablet caustic soda market is stable, the mentality is relatively cautious, and most of the operators wait and see the market at the beginning of the week. Today, the trend of the liquid alkali market is slightly differentiated, mainly reflected in the differences in price adjustment of specifications, with the price of low concentration alkali slightly down and the price center of gravity of high concentration alkali moving slightly upwards. From the perspective of price adjustment in various regions, the prices of 32% ionic membrane alkali, 50% ionic membrane alkali and other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The early maintenance equipment in Shandong, the main production area, is expected to increase the load one after another in the near future, and the performance of enterprise shipments is general, and the center of gravity of the market price is mainly shifted downwards; the enthusiasm of downstream and traders in individual areas is poor, and enterprises slightly reduce prices to promote shipments; the rise in high concentration alkali prices is still supported by the parking of individual chlor-alkali plants in Tianjin. The operation of the market in other regions is relatively stable, the price center of gravity in each region has not changed significantly, and most of the transactions maintain the previous level. A small number of upstream manufacturers adjust their quotations, and there are differences in price adjustment mentality, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize prices. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, Shandong factory quotation has not been adjusted at the beginning of the week, maintaining last week's horizontal operation, the new unit price of manufacturers in the northwest region has not been announced, and the transaction price range of each regional market remains stable for the time being. The situation of enterprise shipments is general, and the downstream demand maintains a light and stable level in the early stage.
Caustic soda futures analysis:Caustic soda SH2409 contract concussion operation, night price concussion downward after the late rebound slightly, after the morning price concussion operation again downtrend, continued downward trend in the afternoon, the late rebound strength is not enough to fall back again. As of today's close, SH2409 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2558-2594 throughout the day, with a price difference of 36 mins and an increase of 1052 positions in contracts, and 52831 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis:According to Tuduoduo data, on July 15, the domestic caustic soda index was 2803.55, down 2, or 0.071%, and the domestic caustic soda index fell.
Future forecast of caustic soda:
Spot aspect:In the liquid alkali market, the early maintenance equipment has plans to recover one after another, and the supply of goods is expected to increase, but at present, the performance of enterprise shipments is general, the inventory pressure of enterprises may increase in the later stage, and the price center of gravity of low concentration alkali may move down slightly; while the high concentration alkali market is still supported by Tianjin early parking devices, the market may continue to rise slightly. Downstream demand remains tepid, and it is difficult to make a significant improvement in the short term. In addition, the price of liquid alkali purchased by the main downstream alumina enterprises in Shandong area has been raised since July 16 to support the market, and it is expected that the price of liquid alkali may be adjusted flexibly in the short term. In the tablet alkali market, the pre-maintenance equipment has been restored, while the inventory pressure of the tablet alkali manufacturers is not great. After the new unit price of tablet alkali was raised last week, the market mentality of each region was cautious, and there was no obvious follow-up situation, and it was unlikely that the quotation would be raised this week. Or maintain stability.
In terms of futures:The contract price of caustic soda SH2409 fell somewhat, and the futures price closed at the negative column cross throughout the day. At the beginning of the week, short sellers were active, and today's trading situation: 13.7% more than short opening 20.2%, empty 20.1% versus 15.2%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) is downward, and the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a dead-fork trend. The futures price goes down but above the lower track, and there is still some support below, but there is still pressure to continue to rise. Short-term futures prices may continue to test the low range.
Caustic soda holds the list:
