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[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (May 20)

7,069
May 20, 2024, 4:53 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on May 20

index

On May 20, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1700/ton, up 20 or 1.2% from the previous working day.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

May 20

14685

14575

14930

14865

15955

15970

14865

May 17

14700

14620

14735

14685

15755

15790

14685

rise and fall

-15

-45

195

180

200

180

180

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

May 20

12335

12685

12815

12440

May 17

12215

12670

12815

12350

rise and fall

120

15

0

90

 

spot market

Supply:

Abroad: Overseas raw material production areas such as Thailand and Vietnam are seriously affected by the weather, and the progress of rubber tapping is slow.

China: Yunnan still has dry weather, Hainan has a small amount of rainfall, and raw material output is low.

price type

May 17

May 20

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

77.5

78.2

0.7

baht/kg

cup glue

56.85

57.85

1

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

13400

13500

100

Yuan/ton

rubber block

11800

11800

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

13000

13000

0

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

14600

14600

0

Yuan/ton

 

On the demand side, the starting load of semi-steel tire enterprises is high, domestic shipments are not smooth, and finished product inventory maintains growth; the starting load of all-steel tire enterprises is less than 70%. Due to poor shipments, enterprises are flexibly controlling production to reduce pressure. In terms of the market, there is insufficient market demand for terminal replacement, and tire companies have gradually increased price reduction promotion policies.

Futures spot price list

price type

May 17

May 20

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

13933

14083

150

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1680

1700

20

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

13645

13655

10

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11400

11400

0

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12450

12550

100

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

1040

1210

170

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

752

782

30

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.2451

7.2472

0.0021

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2066

0.2074

0.0008

Yuan

 

market outlook

The output of overseas raw materials has dropped significantly compared with last year. The raw material market has been short of supply for a long time, and raw material prices have risen sharply compared with last year, which has strong support for rubber costs; today, prices in China's natural rubber market have risen widely, social inventories have declined slightly, and production and sales in the Qingdao market are high; Downstream tire companies are in a seasonal off-season and need insufficient support for rubber raw materials. The natural rubber market is expected to operate stably in the short term.