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[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (May 17)

11,029
May 17, 2024, 5:17 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on May 17

index

On May 17, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1685/ton.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

May 17

14700

14620

14735

14685

15755

15790

14685

May 16

14440

14390

14780

14710

15780

15830

14710

rise and fall

260

230

-45

-25

-25

-40

-25

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

May 17

12215

12670

12815

12350

May 16

12220

12720

12790

12365

rise and fall

-5

-50

25

-15

 

spot market

Supply:

Abroad: The weather in Thailand is gradually improving, but the growth rate of raw material output is unlikely to increase in the short term.

China: Raw material prices in Yunnan and Hainan remained stable today.

price type

May 16

May 17

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

77

77.5

0.5

baht/kg

cup glue

56.65

56.85

0.2

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

13400

13400

0

Yuan/ton

rubber block

11800

11800

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

13000

13000

0

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

14600

14600

0

Yuan/ton

 

Demand: The capacity utilization rate of semi-steel tire enterprises this week was close to 80%, a slight increase from last week, up 2 percentage points year-on-year; the capacity utilization rate of all-steel tire enterprises this week was 6 points, up 13 percentage points month-on-month, down 2 percentage points year-on-year. In terms of the market, the demand for tire replacement at home and abroad has performed poorly. Recently, some tire companies have flexibly controlled production in order to reduce pressure.

Futures spot price list

price type

May 16

May 17

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

13783

13933

150

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1685

1685

0

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

13440

13645

205

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11400

11400

0

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12400

12450

50

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

1270

1040

-230

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

927

752

-175

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.2317

7.2451

0.0134

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2061

0.2066

0.0005

Yuan

 

market outlook

The rubber tapping process in raw material production areas at home and abroad is slow, and the shortage of market supply is difficult to alleviate. Raw material prices are running at high levels, which provides good support for rubber costs. Today, China's natural rubber market prices are rising, social market inventories continue to be eliminated, and the overall decline is slow; Downstream tire companies are in the seasonal off-season, and the purchasing atmosphere of rubber raw materials is flat. It is expected that the natural rubber market will operate steadily in the short term.