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Caustic soda: The spot market participation is not high, prices are stable and small, and futures are closed

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April 28, 2024, 2:40 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 27th Sunday, futures did not open.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April 26th

April 28th

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

700-790

700-790

0/0

-

Hebei

730-790

730-790

0/0

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

700-800

700-800

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

990-1020

990-1020

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

800-880

800-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2480

2400-2480

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

830-850

830-850

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2600-2800

-100/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1300-1330

1300-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2740-2760

2740-2760

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3400-3600

3400-3600

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2900-3000

2900-3000

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3150-3200

3150-3200

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1380

1280-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

960-1050

960-1050

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market moves steadily. During the weekend, the overall market participation is relatively low, the transaction performance is not active, prices in various regions have not been significantly adjusted, only individual regional markets have changed, and operators have a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. Today, the trading atmosphere in the liquid alkali market is weak, most regional markets maintain the previous level of operation, and prices in some regions are relatively weak. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% ionic membrane alkali has dropped 100 yuan / ton, 50% ionic membrane alkali has dropped 20 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. At the end of the maintenance of caustic soda plant in some areas, it is in the stage of increasing load production, and the market supply has increased to a certain extent, but the downstream demand is weak, the downstream receiving enthusiasm is poor, and the enterprise shipping pressure is greater, so the transaction price in the local market is mainly reduced. The situation of receiving goods downstream of individual high concentration alkali market is not ideal, so merchants slightly reduce the shipping price to promote transaction. The market operation in other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today, there is no obvious fluctuation in the operation of the tablet alkali market, most of the prices in various regions maintain the previous level of operation, the production situation of manufacturers is relatively stable, the downstream demand shows a lukewarm rhythm, the overall turnover of the market is weak, and the wait-and-see mood of the market is strong today.

 

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 27th Sunday, futures did not open.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 0.084% to 2689.15, down 2.25%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot: during the weekend, the market participation of operators is relatively low, and the market performance is not active. Approaching the May Day short holiday, the current downstream and traders are nearing the end of stock preparation, the actual stock preparation situation is not as expected, and the overall trading atmosphere of the market is relatively weak. In the later stage, the overall supply of caustic soda market at the supply side is relatively sufficient, and the individual maintenance devices have been restored in the early stage, while in the later stage, some of the devices have maintenance plans in May, and in the later stage, with the landing of the maintenance plans, prices in some areas may form a certain favorable support, while the performance in other areas may be relatively stable, but it does not rule out the rise driven by sentiment in other areas. From the point of view of downstream demand, there is no obvious improvement trend in the later period, alumina enterprise plant is not high, the procurement demand for caustic soda is limited, and other industries basically maintain rigid demand. however, rigid demand is not enough to support a significant rise in the current weak market, so in the later stage, if there is no obvious improvement in demand, or there are certain restrictions on the price rise space, we should pay attention to the market situation at that time.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April 26th

April 28th

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

300-400

300-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

300-400

300-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

200-300

300-350

100/50

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 28, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 366.67, up 4.44, or 1.23%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list:   

 

The market is closed.