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Caustic soda: Some prices have been reduced within a narrow range, and futures prices have fallen for four consecutive years

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April 26, 2024, 5:03 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 26th SH2405 contract opening price: 2383, highest price: 2393, lowest price: 2354, position: 20273, settlement price: 2368, yesterday settlement: 2382, down: 14, closing price: 2358, daily trading volume: 18870 lots, precipitated capital: 229 million, capital outflow: 27.21 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April twenty _ fifth

April 26th

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

700-800

700-790

0/-10

-

Hebei

730-800

730-790

0/-10

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

700-800

700-800

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

990-1020

990-1020

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

800-880

800-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2480

2400-2480

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

830-850

830-850

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2700-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1300-1330

1300-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2740-2760

2740-2760

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3400-3600

3400-3600

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2900-3000

2900-3000

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3150-3200

3150-3200

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1380

1280-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

960-1050

960-1050

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market moves steadily, the market in most areas is volatile, the price of low-concentration caustic soda in some areas falls slightly, the market transaction atmosphere is general, and the wait-and-see atmosphere of the industry as a whole is heavier. Today, prices in some areas of the liquid alkali market have been narrowly lowered, and market operations in most regions have maintained yesterday's levels. from the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped by 10 yuan per ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, with no significant adjustment in the price range. In individual areas, the enthusiasm of downstream industries and traders in receiving goods is not high, and the situation of enterprise shipments is not good, so a small price reduction is mainly to promote shipments. The market in most regions is stable and the wait-and-see mood is strong. The market operation in other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today, the trading situation in the tablet alkali market is flexible, the transaction price in each region has not changed significantly, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, the shipping situation of enterprises is light and stable, and the wait-and-see mood in the market is strong.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract weak shock operation, roughly showing an inverted "N" trend throughout the day. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2354-2393 throughout the day, with a price gap of 39 minus 2232 positions and 20273 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, on April 26, China's caustic soda index was 2691.4, down 2.73%, or 0.101%. China's caustic soda index fell.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, in the caustic soda market, the supply of goods at the supply end is still relatively sufficient, and the short-term supply in the market will not be significantly reduced, while in the late May, there are maintenance plans for caustic soda plants in some areas. at that time, there may be regional support for the price of caustic soda; the downstream receiving situation is not good, and the demand side is also insufficient to support the market. Supply and demand may not improve significantly before the festival, and it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may continue to maintain a narrow shock trend.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract week four consecutive negative decline, the current price down to the middle and lower tracks between the operation, the price above the pressure is still large, the lower support is slightly insufficient. Today's trading volume: 10.9% more than 10.2% empty, 13.4% empty and 16.2% more flat. The technical level shows that the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) have a divergent trend, the KD line at the daily line level shows a dead fork trend, and the MACD line shows a golden fork trend, but the golden fork trend narrows. Pay attention to the lower rail support level in the short term.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April twenty _ fifth

April 26th

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

200-300

300-400

100/100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

200-300

300-400

100/100

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

150-200

200-300

50/100

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

300-400

400-500

100/100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 26, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 362.22, up 45.56, or 14.39%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: