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Caustic soda: Spot prices are flexibly adjusted, futures prices are weak and downward

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April 24, 2024, 4:03 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 24th SH2405 contract opening price: 2426, highest price: 2444, lowest price: 2372, position: 24874, settlement price: 2410, yesterday settlement: 2441, down: 31, closing price: 2386, daily trading volume: 34241 lots, precipitated capital: 285 million, capital outflow: 11.8 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April twenty _ third

April twenty _ fourth

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

720-810

720-800

0/-10

-

Hebei

770-810

760-810

-10/0

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

700-800

700-800

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

990-1020

990-1020

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

800-880

800-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2480

2400-2480

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

830-850

830-850

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2700-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1300-1330

1300-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2740-2760

2740-2760

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3400-3600

3400-3600

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2800-2900

2900-3000

100/100

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3150-3200

3150-3200

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1380

1280-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

960-1050

960-1050

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China caustic soda prices are adjusted flexibly, prices rise and fall each other, prices in individual areas of the market have changed, most regional markets maintain a stable trend, price adjustment mentality is relatively cautious. The price of liquid alkali fell slightly in some areas, while the price of tablet alkali increased. Today, the overall wait-and-see mood in the liquid alkali market is relatively heavy, and the market performance in individual regions is weak, with prices falling slightly. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped by 10 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. Individual areas are obviously affected by downstream resistance to high-price supply sentiment, the actual receiving situation is not good, resulting in general enterprise shipments, so the price center of gravity moves down slightly to promote shipments. The market in most regions is stable and the wait-and-see mood is strong. The market operation in other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today's tablet alkali market regional upward, this week in the northwest region new orders factory quotations continue to rise, some areas of the market transaction prices received a boost, the price center of gravity moved up mainly. However, the market transaction situation under the high price supply is not ideal, and the downstream demand maintains the lukewarm state in the early stage.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract all-day shock downward mainly, the disk performance is relatively weak. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated between 2372 and 2444 throughout the day, with a spread of 72 and a reduction of 530 positions in contracts and 24874 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2702.84 on April 24, up 6.77%, or 0.251%. China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: from the point of view of the liquid alkali market, the supply of goods at the supply end is still relatively sufficient, and the supply of individual pre-production units is expected to increase in the last ten days of the month, and the supply side is not good for the price for the time being, but there are maintenance plans for caustic soda plants in individual areas in the near future. or store some support for local prices. The purchase price of liquid alkali in a large alumina plant in Shandong has been reduced by 10 yuan per ton, which has been implemented since April 25. at present, the purchase price of liquid alkali in this alumina enterprise is 690 yuan / ton, and the center of gravity of liquid alkali transaction price in Shandong area has moved down slightly. From the point of view of the tablet alkali market, the new unit price in the northwest region has risen continuously, with the price increase, the downstream receiving situation may be relatively weak, and the downstream mood may have changed. On the whole, the caustic soda market may continue to maintain the trend of flexible adjustment.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract in the mid-orbit concussion operation, today closed with a negative column cross star. Today's trading situation: 11% more than empty opening 15.1%, empty 14.3% versus 16.4%. The technical level shows that the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continue to narrow, the KD line of the daily line turns to show a dead fork trend, and the MACD line shows a golden fork trend, but the golden fork trend narrows. At present, futures prices are in a dilemma of rising and falling, with upward pressure and downside support, and short-term continued attention to the performance near the middle track.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April twenty _ third

April twenty _ fourth

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

400-500

300-400

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

400-500

300-400

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

450-500

300-350

-150/-150

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

500-600

400-500

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 24, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 366.67, down 50, or 12%. China's liquid chlorine index fell.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: