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Caustic soda: Spot prices are mixed, and futures prices fluctuate downward

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April 23, 2024, 5:01 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 23 SH2405 contract opening price: 2458, highest price: 2474, lowest price: 2416, position: 25404, settlement price: 2441, yesterday settlement: 2449, down: 8, closing price: 2433, daily trading volume: 30360 lots, precipitated capital: 297 million, capital outflow: 20.17 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April 22nd

April twenty _ third

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

720-800

720-810

0/10

-

Hebei

780-800

770-810

-10/10

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

700-790

700-800

0/10

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

990-1020

990-1020

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

790-880

800-880

10/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2500

2400-2480

0/-20

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

880-910

830-850

-50/-60

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2700-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1300-1330

1300-1330

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1220-1330

1220-1330

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2740-2760

2740-2760

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3500-3700

3400-3600

-100/-100

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3150-3200

3150-3200

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1380

1280-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

990-1080

960-1050

-30/-30

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Spot analysis of caustic soda:      today, China's caustic soda market continues to show differential operation, prices rise and fall coexist, market turnover is general, actual trading conditions in different regions are different, low concentration caustic soda prices are mainly adjusted in a narrow range, high concentration caustic soda prices in most areas maintain stable operation, individual downward. Today, the mentality of price adjustment in the liquid alkali market is different, and there are regional differences in price adjustment. from the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has increased by 10 yuan / ton in some areas. some fell 10-60 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali fell 100 yuan / ton, 30% ion-exchange membrane alkali fell 30 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. First of all, the inventory pressure of enterprises in some areas has decreased, and prices have been raised in some areas a few days ago, so prices in some areas have followed the rise, and the center of gravity of local transaction prices has moved slightly upward; after the previous prices in some areas have been slightly raised for a few days, the downstream mood has changed, the enthusiasm for receiving goods has declined, the situation of enterprise shipments has weakened, and the shipping pressure has increased, so enterprises reduce shipping prices to promote shipments. The market operation in other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, the center of gravity of market transactions in most areas remains stable for the time being, the ex-factory quotations of individual manufacturers in the northwest region continue to rise, the new unit prices of most manufacturers have not yet been announced, and the overall market operation is lukewarm. Operators are more cautious in price adjustment and wait and see the market for the time being.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract concussion downward. After the opening of night trading, the market began to fluctuate downwards after reaching the intraday high, and then rebounded slightly after opening in the morning, but there was another concussion downward after the lack of strength, and prices rose slightly in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2416-2474 throughout the day, with a price difference of 58 and a reduction of 1528 positions in the contract, with 25404 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, on April 23, China's caustic soda index was 2696.07, down 9.36%, or 0.346%. China's caustic soda index fell.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot: at present, the operation of various regions of the caustic soda market is relatively flexible, after the early price reduction of shipments, the inventory pressure of most caustic soda enterprises has been reduced in varying degrees, the overall inventory pressure is not great, but the overall supply side performance is still relatively sufficient; downstream demand to maintain a lukewarm pace, the start of various industries has not changed much, the procurement situation has maintained the previous level, has not been significantly improved. From the perspective of the profits of chlor-alkali production enterprises, the current profit situation of chlor-alkali enterprises is relatively limited, and there is still a certain state of mind. On the whole, the operation of the caustic soda market is still lack of substantive guiding factors, and it is expected that each region of the short-term caustic soda market may continue to flexibly adjust prices.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract on the track pressure level is effective, the futures price is down. Today's trading situation: 10.7% more than empty 16.3%, 14.4% more flat than 15.9%. The technical level shows that the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continue to narrow, and the daily KD line and MACD line show a golden fork trend. The current futures price shows a negative column cross star, there is pressure to continue to rise, there is support in the downside, and the short-term price is concerned about the performance between the upper orbit.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April 22nd

April twenty _ third

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

400-500

400-500

0/0

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

400-450

450-500

50/50

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

500-600

400-500

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 23, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 416.67, down 5.56, or 1.32%. China's liquid chlorine index fell.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: