Caustic soda: Spot prices coexist with ups and downs, futures prices rise slightly and then dive

Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 19 SH2405 contract opening price: 2416, highest price: 2458, lowest price: 2388, position: 32633, settlement price: 2426, yesterday settlement: 2417, up: 9, closing price: 2410, daily trading volume: 52754 lots, precipitated capital: 377 million, capital outflow: 39.66 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)
Specifications	Market	April eighteenth	April nineteenth	Rise and fall	Remarks
32% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	950-1300	950-1300	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Northwest	704-736	704-736	0/0	Ex-factory price
	North China	720-780	720-780	0/0	-
	Hebei	750-780	770-780	20/0	Ex-factory price
	South China	940-1050	940-1050	0/0	Can price
	Shandong	700-790	700-790	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Zhejiang	1030-1070	1030-1070	0/0	-
	Jiangsu Province	780-880	780-880	0/0	Delivery price
	Tianjin	2400-2450	2400-2500	0/50	A discount of 100%
	Anhui Province	880-910	880-910	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Henan	2700-2800	2700-2800	0/0	A discount of 100%
50% ionic membrane alkali	North China	1250-1380	1220-1330	-30/-50	Ex-factory price
	Hebei	1320-1380	1300-1330	-20/-50	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	1220-1330	1220-1330	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Tianjin	2740-2760	2740-2760	0/0	A discount of 100%
	Southwest	3500-3700	3500-3700	0/0	A discount of 100%
99% tablet alkali	Northwest	2800-2900	2800-2900	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	3100-3150	3100-3150	0/0	Ex-factory price
45% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	1680-1750	1680-1750	0/0	Ex-factory price
49% ionic membrane alkali	Jiangsu Province	1280-1380	1280-1380	0/0	Ex-factory price
30% ionic membrane alkali	Southwest	990-1080	990-1080	0/0	-
48% ionic membrane alkali	Henan	2800-2900	2800-2900	0/0	A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market continues to show differential operation, liquid caustic soda transaction prices rise and fall mixed, tablet caustic soda transaction prices are relatively stable, there are only a few areas in the market to adjust prices, and the market mentality in most areas is cautious. Today, the prices of liquid alkali rise and fall each other, while the prices of low concentration alkali rise slightly in some areas, while the prices of high concentration alkali fall mainly in some areas. from the perspective of regional market price adjustment, 32% ionic membrane alkali rose 20-50 yuan / ton, 50% ionic membrane alkali fell 20-50 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. In some areas, the inventory pressure of low-concentration alkali enterprises is reduced, and the downstream demand performance is OK, enterprises have a certain stock reduction, supporting the transaction price center of gravity to move up; high concentration alkali mainly falls in individual areas. The market operation in most other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains the lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, there is no obvious fluctuation in each regional market, the merchant shipping price mostly maintains yesterday's level, the downstream demand maintains the lukewarm state, the transaction situation is slightly general, the market price adjustment mentality is general, the overall performance is more cautious, the various places maintain wait-and-see mainly, the transaction price has not seen the obvious change.

 

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract as a whole shows an upward trend and then a downward trend. Night trading price concussion operation, after the opening of morning trading concussion upward, to today's high after a continuous dive, afternoon prices rebounded slightly after shock. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2388-2458 throughout the day, with a price difference of 70 minus 05 contracts with a reduction of 3250 positions and 32633 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, on April 19, China's caustic soda index was 2700.29, down 6.3%, or 0.233%. China's caustic soda index fell.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, the market situation of caustic soda is flexibly adjusted, the prices of liquid caustic soda rise and fall mutually, the factors that guide the market trend in different regions are different, and the price is flexibly adjusted mainly. After the price in each region rose briefly after the factory quotation was raised, it showed a wait-and-see mood again today, and the market performance was relatively cautious near the weekend. In the later period, the caustic soda market may continue to show flexible adjustment in late April, with little change on both sides of supply and demand in each region, relatively obvious changes in a few regions, price adjustment and market or narrow range shocks in most areas. From the point of view of the market in May, caustic soda enterprises plan to increase the number of maintenance devices in May, or rebound.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract a small rebound market, although today's futures high close to the track, appear this week's high, but the overall uplink is still relatively weak, the pressure above the futures price is greater, lack of sufficient power to support further upward. The disk continues to run in the state of reducing positions. Today's trading situation: 13.9% more than empty 16%, 16.6% more flat than 17.3%, long and short parties close more. The technical level shows that the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) three tracks narrowed, the daily KD line gold fork trend continues to expand, MACD line also shows a golden fork trend. Short-term futures prices continue to pay attention to the performance near the middle track.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 19, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 355.56, down 66.67, or 15.79%. China's liquid chlorine index fell.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: