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Caustic soda: The price of spot flake alkali has been increased, the price of liquid alkali has been individually lowered, and the futures market has been reduced

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April 17, 2024, 4:00 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 17 SH2405 contract opening price: 2359, highest price: 2392, lowest price: 2354, position: 37857, settlement price: 2373, yesterday settlement: 2385, down: 12, closing price: 2389, daily trading volume: 37783 lots, precipitated capital: 434 million, capital outflow: 32.42 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April sixteenth

April seventeenth

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

720-780

720-780

0/0

-

Hebei

750-780

750-780

0/0

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

700-790

700-790

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

1030-1070

1030-1070

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

780-880

780-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2450

2400-2450

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

880-910

880-910

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2700-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1250-1380

1250-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1320-1380

1320-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1250-1350

1220-1330

-30/-20

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2750-2800

2740-2760

-10/-40

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3500-3700

3500-3700

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2700-2800

2800-2900

100/100

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3100-3150

3100-3150

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1380

1280-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

990-1080

990-1080

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market shows regional changes, market transactions are general, high-price supply is less, supply and demand show regional differences, prices are mainly flexible adjustment, market mentality in most areas is cautious, prices maintain a stable trend. Today, the price of liquid alkali has fallen in some areas, and the market in most regions has been stable. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 10-40 yuan per ton, while the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The price of high concentration alkali in Shandong, the main producing area, has been reduced, and the supply is expected to increase due to the influence of the evaporation device of a local enterprise, so the price has been lowered, which has a certain impact on the surrounding individual areas. The market operation in most other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the downstream demand maintains the lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A few upstream production enterprises adjust the ex-factory quotation, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price. Today, the transaction price of the tablet alkali market shows a regional center of gravity shift upward, some devices are under maintenance, there is not much supply on the market, enterprise inventory pressure is not available for the time being, and downstream demand remains lukewarm. This week, the price of new orders in Northwest China has mainly increased, and market transaction prices have risen in some areas.

 

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract shock uplink. Prices fluctuated mainly in the night market, rebounded after opening a small decline in the morning, but showed a downward trend again at the end of the day, and fluctuated after rising again in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2354-2392 throughout the day, with a price difference of 38 minus 05 contracts with a reduction of 3432 positions and 37857 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2706.85 on April 17, up 9.05%, or 0.336%. China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, the operation of the liquid alkali market is stable and small, and the changes between the supply and demand sides are relatively inconspicuous. the supply of liquid alkali in most areas of the supply side is relatively stable, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, and the overall downstream demand situation has not been significantly improved. after the previous prices continue to fall, corporate profits are poor, enterprises have a pro-price mentality, short-term liquid alkali market or flexible adjustment, the market in most areas is stable. The price of the new order in the tablet alkali market has stopped falling and rebounded this week after a continuous decline. Although the transaction price in some areas has risen mainly, the market in some areas has maintained a wait-and-see mentality, and the willingness to follow the rise is not high. It is expected that the price center of gravity of the tablet alkali market or the region will rise slightly in the short term.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract slightly fluctuated upstream, today's trading situation: more than 12.3% vs. 14.4%, 19.4% vs. 16.2%, long and short positions more. The technical level shows that the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) three rails narrow, the lower rail opening upward, the upper and middle rail opening downward, the daily KD line shows a golden fork trend, MACD line dead fork trend narrowed. At present, futures prices are fluctuating in the middle and lower tracks, and they are in an awkward position of rising pressure and downside support. In the near future, the market is in the stage of changing positions and changing months, mainly reducing positions, and short-term futures continue to pay attention to the mid-rail pressure level.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April sixteenth

April seventeenth

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

350-450

450-550

100/100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

350-450

450-550

100/100

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

350-450

400-500

50/50

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

450-550

550-650

100/100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on April 17, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 444.44, up 38.89, or 9.59%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: