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Caustic soda: Spot prices are operating stably, and futures prices are reduced and downward

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April 11, 2024, 3:51 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    April 11 SH2405 contract opening price: 2456, highest price: 2459, lowest price: 2382, position: 44434, settlement price: 2419, yesterday settlement: 2420, down: 1, closing price: 2389, daily trading volume: 66965 lots, precipitated capital: 510 million, capital outflow: 22.75 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

April 10th

April eleventh

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

720-810

720-810

0/0

-

Hebei

740-810

740-810

0/0

Ex-factory price

South China

940-1050

940-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

720-790

720-790

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

1030-1070

1030-1070

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

780-880

780-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2420-2450

2420-2450

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

880-910

880-910

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2800

2700-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1250-1380

1250-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1320-1380

1320-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1250-1350

1250-1350

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2790-2800

2790-2800

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3500-3700

3500-3700

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3100-3150

3100-3150

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1320-1380

1320-1380

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

990-1080

990-1080

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market as a whole shows a stable trend of operation, individual regional market transaction price center of gravity moves downward, most regional markets maintain a stable situation, prices have not changed significantly. The market transaction atmosphere is relatively weak, the shipping situation of some enterprises is general, the downstream receiving situation is poor, and the mentality of operators is more cautious. Today, the price of liquid alkali has been sporadically lowered in some areas, and most areas have maintained yesterday's level of operation. From the point of view of market price adjustment in various regions, the prices of various concentrations of alkali, such as 32% ionic membrane alkali and 50% ionic membrane alkali, have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The market transaction situation in some areas is not ideal, and enterprises mainly reduce the shipping price in order to promote shipping. The enthusiasm of receiving goods downstream of the local market is poor, but the price has not been adjusted yet, the mentality is relatively cautious. In most other regions, the market is relatively stable, the price maintains the previous level of operation, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the overall enterprise shipment situation has not significantly improved, the downstream demand maintains a lukewarm rhythm, and the attitude of the industry in each region is relatively cautious. A small number of upstream production enterprises lowered their ex-factory quotations, while other manufacturers wait and see to stabilize prices. Today, there is no obvious fluctuation in the tablet alkali market, and the market performance is more cautious after the manufacturers' quotations are downgraded. Today, the center of gravity of market transactions in most areas has not been adjusted, the market turnover is relatively light, and the situation of enterprise shipments has not changed much. The market as a whole has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere.

 

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract concussion downward, night trading after the price concussion down, and then a small rebound; my home concussion operation in the morning, afternoon prices appear continuous diving market, the disk operation is weak. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2382-2459 throughout the day, with a price difference of 77 and a reduction of 773 positions, with 44434 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, on April 11, China's caustic soda index was 2724.51, down 0%, and China's caustic soda index was stable.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, the operation of the spot market of caustic soda is relatively stable, there are no obvious guiding factors in the operation of the regional market, and the mentality of the operators is more cautious, mainly waiting and seeing the market. Comparatively speaking, although there is a situation of equipment maintenance in individual areas of the market, it is also supporting the stable operation of local prices as a whole, which is not enough to support the upside of the market, whether it is the liquid alkali market or the sheet alkali market, the price is expected to continue to operate under pressure.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract closed with a negative column, and the futures price is still weak. Today's trading situation: more than 15.1% versus 18.4%, 15.5% versus 18.7%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) narrows, the KD line of the daily line shows the trend of golden fork, and the MACD line shows the trend of dead fork. At present, there is a small support under the futures price, but the whole is not obvious, short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract or continue to test the low range, upward or there is still some pressure.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

April 10th

April eleventh

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

600-700

500-600

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

600-700

500-600

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

450-500

300-350

-150/-150

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

700-800

600-700

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index fell by 50 to 444.44 on April 11, while China's liquid chlorine index fell.