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Polypropylene PP: The ex-factory price of coal companies continues to increase, the cost-side driving effect is obvious, and the low market price has moved upwards

83,724
April 8, 2024, 5:10 PM

Sinopec inventory: 885000 tons of two-oil polyolefin inventory, 50, 000 tons less than yesterday.


PP futures analysis: April 8 PP2405 opening price: 7600, highest price: 7621, lowest price: 7560, position: 266139 lots, settlement price: 7590, yesterday settlement: 7578, up: 12, daily trading volume: 224884 lots.


Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

April 7th

April 8th

Rise and fall

North China

7450-7600

7470-7600

20/0

East China

7570-7650

7570-7650

0/0

South China

7600-7700

7630-7700

30/0

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, the rising trend of China's PP market slows down, the mainstream price of wire drawing in China ranges from 7470 to 7700 yuan / ton, and the daily increase varies from 20 to 30 yuan / ton. The international crude oil rose six times in a row, and the cloth oil exceeded 91 US dollars per barrel, which played an obvious role in driving the market. And production enterprises have been actively up-regulated since the beginning of the month. Today, CNPC Northeast China has increased by 50 yuan / ton, CNPC Southwest has increased by 50-70 yuan / ton, Sinopec Central China has increased by 50-100 yuan / ton, and the other two oil companies are stable. Coal companies continue to raise ex-factory prices, on-site supply costs to promote a strong role. Add in the upstream parking increment since the end of the month, and the supply side is also good. However, the futures market rose less than expected, and a fall in early trading raised concerns in the market. Traders wait and see shipments, in the stock market turned red again and production enterprises raised, continue to push up tentatively. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, low-price buying is general, high-price trading is weak.


PP spot trend forecast: raw materials: crude oil disk further refresh stage new high, oil distribution disk into the 86-95 dollar area. The center of gravity of the raw material moves upward, which drives the production cost of polypropylene higher. Petrochemical policy: the current performance of the two cities is good, there are still upward movements in various regions, and the supply cost of goods in the field is strongly supported. On the supply side: since late March, there has been an increase in equipment overhaul in China. In April, there are still many devices parking, including Zhejiang Sinopec, Shenhua Baotou and Datang. At the same time, the possibility of operating parking due to cost is not ruled out, and the market supply is expected to be significantly reduced. On the demand side, the overall downstream demand is relatively stable, driving little in the short term. Under the comprehensive influence, it is expected that the short-term PP market still maintains a strong shock operation, but subject to weak buying at high prices, the overall upward space in the short term may be limited.

China's PP index: according to Tudor data, China's PP spot index rose 8, or 0.11%, to 7603 on April 8.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 19, 2024

April 8, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

Second phase, second line.

40

March 20, 2024

April 8, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

First line

35

March 20, 2024

May 20, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

Second line

20

March 21, 2024

May 20, 2024

Ningbo Fude

Single line

40

March 24, 2024

April 4, 2024

Jingbo polyolefin

Second line

40

March 26, 2024

April 15, 2024

Quanzhou, Sinochem

Second line

35

March 26, 2024

March 31, 2024

Jingmen petrochemical

Single line

12

March 27, 2024

March 31, 2024

Qinzhou, Guangxi

Single line

20

March 30, 2024

April 1, 2024

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Second line

7

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

First line

20

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

Second line

20

April 1, 2024

April 14, 2024

Zhongyuan Petrochemical Company

First line

6

April 1, 2024

To be determined

Dongguan Juzhengyuan

The first line of Phase II

30

April 1, 2024

April 2, 2024

Dongguan Juzhengyuan

Second phase, second line.

30

April 1, 2024

April 2, 2024

Zhejiang Petrochemical Corporation

First line

45

April 6, 2024

April 23, 2024

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua PP's auction volume today was 1968 tons, 20.39% lower than yesterday; the turnover was 1398 tons, 22.72% lower than yesterday, and the turnover rate was 71.04%, 2.14% lower than yesterday.