Sinopec inventory: 885000 tons of two-oil polyolefin inventory, 50, 000 tons less than yesterday.
PP futures analysis: April 8 PP2405 opening price: 7600, highest price: 7621, lowest price: 7560, position: 266139 lots, settlement price: 7590, yesterday settlement: 7578, up: 12, daily trading volume: 224884 lots.
Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton
Region |
April 7th |
April 8th |
Rise and fall |
North China |
7450-7600 |
7470-7600 |
20/0 |
East China |
7570-7650 |
7570-7650 |
0/0 |
South China |
7600-7700 |
7630-7700 |
30/0 |
PP China spot market analysis: today, the rising trend of China's PP market slows down, the mainstream price of wire drawing in China ranges from 7470 to 7700 yuan / ton, and the daily increase varies from 20 to 30 yuan / ton. The international crude oil rose six times in a row, and the cloth oil exceeded 91 US dollars per barrel, which played an obvious role in driving the market. And production enterprises have been actively up-regulated since the beginning of the month. Today, CNPC Northeast China has increased by 50 yuan / ton, CNPC Southwest has increased by 50-70 yuan / ton, Sinopec Central China has increased by 50-100 yuan / ton, and the other two oil companies are stable. Coal companies continue to raise ex-factory prices, on-site supply costs to promote a strong role. Add in the upstream parking increment since the end of the month, and the supply side is also good. However, the futures market rose less than expected, and a fall in early trading raised concerns in the market. Traders wait and see shipments, in the stock market turned red again and production enterprises raised, continue to push up tentatively. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, low-price buying is general, high-price trading is weak.
PP spot trend forecast: raw materials: crude oil disk further refresh stage new high, oil distribution disk into the 86-95 dollar area. The center of gravity of the raw material moves upward, which drives the production cost of polypropylene higher. Petrochemical policy: the current performance of the two cities is good, there are still upward movements in various regions, and the supply cost of goods in the field is strongly supported. On the supply side: since late March, there has been an increase in equipment overhaul in China. In April, there are still many devices parking, including Zhejiang Sinopec, Shenhua Baotou and Datang. At the same time, the possibility of operating parking due to cost is not ruled out, and the market supply is expected to be significantly reduced. On the demand side, the overall downstream demand is relatively stable, driving little in the short term. Under the comprehensive influence, it is expected that the short-term PP market still maintains a strong shock operation, but subject to weak buying at high prices, the overall upward space in the short term may be limited.
China's PP index: according to Tudor data, China's PP spot index rose 8, or 0.11%, to 7603 on April 8.
China installation parking Summary:
Enterprise name |
product line |
Production capacity |
Parking Duration |
departure time |
Dalian Petrochemical Corporation |
Third line |
5 |
August 2, 2006 |
To be determined |
Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation |
Old equipment |
12 |
November 12, 2021 |
To be determined |
Haiguolong oil |
First line |
20 |
February 8, 2022 |
To be determined |
Haiguolong oil |
Second line |
35 |
April 3, 2022 |
To be determined |
Tianjin Petrochemical Company |
First line |
6 |
August 1, 2022 |
To be determined |
Jinxi Petrochemical |
Single line |
15 |
February 16, 2023 |
To be determined |
Yanshan Petrochemical |
Second line |
7 |
September 18, 2023 |
To be determined |
Shaoxing Sanyuan |
New line |
30 |
September 20, 2023 |
To be determined |
Qinghai Salt Lake |
Single line |
16 |
October 27, 2023 |
To be determined |
Changzhou Fude |
Single line |
30 |
November 1, 2023 |
To be determined |
Jingbo polyolefin |
First line |
20 |
November 1, 2023 |
To be determined |
Luoyang Petrochemical |
First line |
8 |
November 3, 2023 |
To be determined |
Zhongjing Petrochemical |
The first phase and the first line |
50 |
December 5, 2023 |
To be determined |
Hongrun Petrochemical |
Single line |
45 |
December 6, 2023 |
To be determined |
Qilu Petrochemical |
Single line |
7 |
December 23, 2023 |
To be determined |
Lianhong Xinke |
Second line |
8 |
December 30, 2023 |
To be determined |
Fujian Union |
Old line |
12 |
January 3, 2024 |
To be determined |
Gold energy chemistry |
First line |
45 |
March 8, 2024 |
To be determined |
North China brocade |
Old line |
6 |
March 8, 2024 |
To be determined |
Jiutai Group |
Single line |
32 |
March 15, 2024 |
April 15, 2024 |
Donghua Energy (Ningbo) |
The first line of Phase II |
40 |
March 19, 2024 |
April 8, 2024 |
Donghua Energy (Ningbo) |
Second phase, second line. |
40 |
March 20, 2024 |
April 8, 2024 |
Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry |
First line |
35 |
March 20, 2024 |
May 20, 2024 |
Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry |
Second line |
20 |
March 21, 2024 |
May 20, 2024 |
Ningbo Fude |
Single line |
40 |
March 24, 2024 |
April 4, 2024 |
Jingbo polyolefin |
Second line |
40 |
March 26, 2024 |
April 15, 2024 |
Quanzhou, Sinochem |
Second line |
35 |
March 26, 2024 |
March 31, 2024 |
Jingmen petrochemical |
Single line |
12 |
March 27, 2024 |
March 31, 2024 |
Qinzhou, Guangxi |
Single line |
20 |
March 30, 2024 |
April 1, 2024 |
Dalian Petrochemical Corporation |
Second line |
7 |
March 31, 2024 |
May 10, 2024 |
Dalian Petrochemical Corporation |
First line |
20 |
March 31, 2024 |
May 10, 2024 |
Tianjin Petrochemical Company |
Second line |
20 |
April 1, 2024 |
April 14, 2024 |
Zhongyuan Petrochemical Company |
First line |
6 |
April 1, 2024 |
To be determined |
Dongguan Juzhengyuan |
The first line of Phase II |
30 |
April 1, 2024 |
April 2, 2024 |
Dongguan Juzhengyuan |
Second phase, second line. |
30 |
April 1, 2024 |
April 2, 2024 |
Zhejiang Petrochemical Corporation |
First line |
45 |
April 6, 2024 |
April 23, 2024 |
Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua PP's auction volume today was 1968 tons, 20.39% lower than yesterday; the turnover was 1398 tons, 22.72% lower than yesterday, and the turnover rate was 71.04%, 2.14% lower than yesterday.