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Polypropylene PP: Five upstream intensive parking, coal companies rose 80 yuan/ton at the highest price, and the market rebounded at the beginning of the month

82,186
April 1, 2024, 3:50 PM

Sinopec inventory: 840000 tons of two-oil polyolefin inventory, an increase of 80, 000 tons over Friday.

 

PP futures analysis: April 1 PP2405 opening price: 7483, highest price: 7550, lowest price: 7479, position: 307364 lots, settlement price: 7516, yesterday settlement: 7483, up: 33, daily trading volume: 252804 lots.



Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

March twenty _ ninth

April 1st

Rise and fall

North China

7330-7450

7350-7500

20/50

East China

7420-7550

7480-7630

60/80

South China

7480-7550

7530-7600

50/50

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, China's PP market ushered in a good start, China wiredrawing mainstream prices in 7350-7630 yuan / ton, up 20-80 yuan / ton compared to last Friday. Petrochemical, 5 upstream enterprises intensive parking (see table below for details), the market supply further shrank. Although the two oil reserves have been burdened, CNPC Northeast, CNPC South China and Sinopec East China are still up-regulated, with an increase of 50-100 yuan per ton. Coal enterprises Yulin, Mengda, Ning Coal, Yanchang raised 30-80 yuan / ton, the supply cost of goods in the field is higher. And PP futures in the commodity "restless" market, a change of decline, reducing positions rebounded, driving the spot market atmosphere. The holder took the opportunity to overreport, and the market price went up. Downstream rigid demand to buy, some middlemen moderate purchase, the overall atmosphere is warmer than last week.


PP spot trend Forecast: raw materials: the current focus of the crude oil market is still on the geographical situation, the Gaza ceasefire negotiations have reached an impasse, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has not been effectively resolved, but the cease-fire negotiations are still continuing. Geographical factors are still the main positive support source of crude oil disk, the trend of geographical situation determines the degree of short-term pricing of crude oil, and the upgrading or cooling of the geopolitical situation will determine the rising and falling trend of crude oil; as for coal, most coal mines in the region maintain normal production, individual coal mines stop production and maintenance in the current month, and the overall coal supply level is slightly reduced. With the end of central heating in northern regions, the actual demand performance is not good, the rise in coal prices still lacks strong support, and it is expected that the market coal price stalemate is weak in the later stage. On the supply side: since late March, there has been an increase in equipment overhaul in China. In April, there are still many devices parking, including Zhejiang Sinopec, Shenhua Baotou and Datang. At the same time, the possibility of operating parking due to cost is not ruled out, and the market supply is expected to be significantly reduced. On the demand side, the overall downstream demand is relatively stable, driving little in the short term. Under the comprehensive impact, it is expected that the short-term PP market will still maintain a volatile city, and there is still a small room for exploration under the expectations of petrochemical increases at the beginning of the month.

China's PP index: according to Tudor data, China's PP spot index rose 52, or 0.70%, to 7515 on April 1.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 19, 2024

April 8, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

Second phase, second line.

40

March 20, 2024

April 8, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

First line

35

March 20, 2024

May 20, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

Second line

20

March 21, 2024

May 20, 2024

Ningbo Fude

Single line

40

March 24, 2024

April 4, 2024

Jingbo polyolefin

Second line

40

March 26, 2024

April 15, 2024

Quanzhou, Sinochem

Second line

35

March 26, 2024

March 31, 2024

Jingmen petrochemical

Single line

12

March 27, 2024

March 31, 2024

Qinzhou, Guangxi

Single line

20

March 30, 2024

April 1, 2024

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Second line

7

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

First line

20

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

Second line

20

April 1, 2024

April 14, 2024

Zhongyuan Petrochemical Company

First line

6

April 1, 2024

To be determined

Dongguan Juzhengyuan

The first line of Phase II

30

April 1, 2024

April 2, 2024

Dongguan Juzhengyuan

Second phase, second line.

30

April 1, 2024

April 2, 2024

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua Coal Chemical's auction volume today was 2251 tons, an increase of 18.85% over yesterday; the turnover was 1906 tons, an increase of 7.02% over yesterday, and the turnover rate was 84.67%, down 9.36% from yesterday.