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Polypropylene PP: Futures reduced their positions and broke below 7500, the oil and oil stocks fell at the end of the month, and the focus of the spot shifted downward

85,925
March 27, 2024, 4:29 PM

Sinopec inventory: two-oil polyolefin inventory of 820000 tons, 25000 tons less than yesterday.


PP futures analysis: March 27th PP2405 opening price: 7510, highest price: 7527, lowest price: 7459, position: 333046 lots, settlement price: 7492, yesterday settlement: 7522, down: 30, daily trading volume: 270625 lots.



Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

March 26th

March twenty _ seventh

Rise and fall

North China

7380-7500

7340-7450

-40/-50

East China

7460-7550

7420-7550

-40/0

South China

7500-7580

7500-7550

0/-30

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, China's PP market prices fell slightly, China wiredrawing mainstream prices in 7340-7550 yuan / ton, a decline in 30-50 yuan / ton. Petrochemical, two oil early this morning 820000 tons, although nearly two days to the warehouse, but the current upstream there is still a large inventory pressure. Ex-factory prices, Donghua Energy, Jingbo, Sinopec Huazhong, CNPC Northeast reduced ex-factory prices ranging from 50-100 yuan / ton, other stable. Coal companies generally reduced prices by 10-40 yuan per ton, and the cost of supply continued to move down. PP futures fell continuously, breaking the 7500 mark today. The state of mind on the floor is not good, traders actively reduce positions and shipments, and offers move down synchronously. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, the overall transaction performance is general.


PP spot trend forecast: for the future market, we still need to pay attention to the changes from the cost side and the encashment of supply-side reductions, as well as the sentiment of capital on the disk. In terms of raw materials, the focus of crude oil is still on the geographical side, the Gaza ceasefire negotiations are still continuing, there is still no real ceasefire, pay attention to the progress of the ceasefire. On the supply side: the start-up of the early maintenance equipment is relatively limited, superimposed Jingmen Petrochemical, Zhejiang Petrochemical, Dalian Petrochemical and other planned maintenance, the overall supply is expected to be slightly reduced. At the end of the superimposed month, the sales of contractors are OK this month, and the supply of goods has tightened at the end of the month; in terms of demand, the downstream has returned to normal start-up, although there is an increase in demand for raw materials, but there is obvious resistance to high prices. And the futures market fell sharply, suppressing the market buying gas and suppressing the market. Under the comprehensive influence, the short-term PP market shock is expected to run weakly, digesting the previous increase, and some high prices have room to fall back.

China's PP index: China's PP spot index fell 27, or 0.36%, to 7468, 7495, according to Tudor data.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 19, 2024

To be determined

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

Second phase, second line.

40

March 20, 2024

To be determined

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

First line

35

March 20, 2024

May 20, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

Second line

20

March 21, 2024

May 20, 2024

Ningbo Fude

Single line

40

March 24, 2024

April 4, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first phase

40

March 25, 2024

March 29, 2024

Jingbo polyolefin

Second line

40

March 26, 2024

Mid-April 2024

Quanzhou, Sinochem

Second line

35

March 26, 2024

To be determined

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Second line

7

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

First line

20

March 31, 2024

May 10, 2024

Jingmen petrochemical

Single line

12

March 27, 2024

March 31, 2024

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua Coal Chemical's auction volume today was 3399 tons, down 2.16% from yesterday; the turnover was 2735 tons, 18.94% lower than yesterday, and the turnover rate was 80.46%, 16.66% lower than yesterday.