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Polypropylene PP: Futures have three consecutive negative days, poor mentality in the market, and a slight decline in spot prices

83,483
March 25, 2024, 5:08 PM

Sinopec inventory: two-oil polyolefin inventory of 865000 tons, an increase of 40, 000 tons over last week.


PP futures analysis: March 25th PP2405 opening price: 7543, highest price: 7551, lowest price: 7504, position: 374646 lots, settlement price: 7525, yesterday settlement: 7558, down: 33, daily trading volume: 275141 lots.



Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

March 22nd

March twenty _ fifth

Rise and fall

North China

7430-7530

7400-7500

-30/-30

East China

7480-7650

7480-7550

0/-100

South China

7500-7580

7500-7580

0/0

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, China PP market prices fell slightly, China wiredrawing mainstream prices in 7400-7580 yuan / ton, the decline in 30-7580 yuan / ton. Petrochemical, two oil depots 865000 tons early this morning, there is still a large inventory pressure upstream. Ex-factory prices, PetroChina Northeast, Ningbo Formosa Plastics, Luqing Petrochemical, CNPC North China, Sinopec Huabei reduced factory prices ranging from 50-100 yuan / ton, other stable. Coal enterprises generally reduce prices by 30-50 yuan / ton, and the support of supply cost in the field is loose. PP futures fell continuously, the market mentality is not good, traders actively reduce positions and shipments, the offer moved down slightly. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, the overall transaction performance is general.


PP spot trend forecast: for the future market, we still need to pay attention to the changes from the cost side and the encashment of supply-side reductions, as well as the sentiment of capital on the disk. In terms of raw materials, the focus of crude oil is still on the geographical side, the Gaza ceasefire negotiations are still continuing, the real cease-fire has not yet been achieved, the US Gaza cease-fire bill has been rejected, and the geographical focus is still on Palestine and Israel, paying attention to the progress of the ceasefire. On the supply side: this week, the second line of Sinopec Refinery, Ningbo Fude, Dalian Petrochemical, Zhejiang Petrochemical and other parking, while the early maintenance equipment start-up is relatively limited, the overall supply is expected to be slightly reduced. At the end of the superimposed month, the sales of contractors are OK this month, and the supply of goods has tightened at the end of the month; in terms of demand, the downstream has returned to normal start-up, although there is an increase in demand for raw materials, but there is obvious resistance to high prices. And the futures market fell sharply, suppressing the market buying gas and suppressing the market. Under the comprehensive influence, the short-term PP market shock is expected to run weakly, digesting the previous increase, and some high prices have room to fall back.

China's PP index: according to Tudor data, China's PP spot index fell 26, or 0.35%, to 7502 on March 25.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Maoming Petrochemical

First line

17

February 24, 2024

March 19, 2024

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Hongji Petrochemical

Single line

20

March 13, 2024

March 19, 2024

China-Angola alliance

Single line

35

March 14, 2024

March 21, 2024

Haitian petrochemical

Single line

20

March 15, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 18, 2024

To be determined

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua Coal Chemical Industry's auction volume today was 3866 tons, an increase of 92.63% over yesterday; the turnover was 2418 tons, an increase of 72.22% over yesterday, and the turnover rate was 62.55%, down 7.41% from yesterday.