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Polypropylene PP: The market fell to the middle track of Bollinger, spot fell slightly, and market buying sentiment was light

84,579
March 22, 2024, 5:07 PM

Sinopec inventory: two-oil polyolefin inventory of 825000 tons, an increase of 5000 tons over yesterday.


PP futures analysis: March 22nd PP2405 opening price: 7593, highest price: 7606, lowest price: 7518, position: 404490 lots, settlement price: 7558, yesterday settlement: 7594, down: 36, daily trading volume: 357980 lots.



Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

March 21

March 22nd

Rise and fall

North China

7450-7550

7430-7530

-20/-20

East China

7500-7650

7480-7650

-20/0

South China

7500-7630

7500-7580

0/-50

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, China PP market prices fell slightly, China wiredrawing mainstream prices in 7430-7650 yuan / ton, a decline in 20-50 yuan / ton. Petrochemical, two oil depots 825000 tons early this morning, there is still a large inventory pressure upstream. Ex-factory prices, PetroChina Northeast, Sinopec South China some categories raised ex-factory prices ranging from 50-100 yuan / ton, other stable. Coal enterprises generally reduce prices by 20-50 yuan / ton, and the support of supply cost in the field is loose. PP futures fell back to a high, traders actively reduce positions and shipments, offer slightly lower. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, the overall transaction performance is general.


PP spot trend forecast: for the future market, we still need to pay attention to the game from the cost side and the supply side, as well as the sentiment of capital on the disk. Raw materials: the current crude oil geography, fundamentals and macro drivers are still neutral. Russian refineries, oil depots and other related facilities have been frequently attacked, and the support of geographical factors to the crude oil disk has been strengthened. Us stocks have fluctuated at recent highs, the overall market remains strong, and macro risk appetite has not changed significantly for the time being. In terms of fundamentals, the overall tone of the recent monthly reports of the three major institutions is on the strong side, and most of them give expectations of supply shortages this year. International oil prices are easy to rise but difficult to fall, and the raw material end is supported strongly. On the supply side: the second line of China Science Refining and Chemical Industry, Ningbo Fude, Dalian Petrochemical and Zhejiang Petrochemical will be added next week, while the start-up of pre-maintenance equipment is relatively limited, and the overall supply is expected to be slightly reduced. At the same time, after the recent rapid removal of two oils to the warehouse, superimposed next week happens to be the end of the month, the sales of contractors are OK this month, and the supply of goods has been tightened at the end of the month; in terms of demand, the downstream has returned to normal start-up, although there is an increase in demand for raw materials, but there is obvious resistance to high prices. And the futures market fell sharply, suppressing the market buying gas and suppressing the market. Under the comprehensive influence, the short-term PP market shock is expected to run weakly, digesting the recent increases, and some high prices have room to fall back.

China's PP index: China's PP spot index fell 19, or 0.25%, to 7528 on March 22, according to Tudor data.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Maoming Petrochemical

First line

17

February 24, 2024

March 19, 2024

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Hongji Petrochemical

Single line

20

March 13, 2024

March 19, 2024

China-Angola alliance

Single line

35

March 14, 2024

March 21, 2024

Haitian petrochemical

Single line

20

March 15, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 18, 2024

To be determined

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua Coal Chemical Industry's auction volume today was 2007 tons, down 37.96% from yesterday; the turnover was 1404 tons, 50.94% lower than yesterday, and the transaction rate was 69.96%, 18.51% lower than yesterday.