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Caustic soda: The spot market rose slightly, and the futures price fluctuated downward

85,573
March 22, 2024, 4:10 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    March 22nd SH2405 contract opening price: 2698, highest price: 2716, lowest price: 2660, position: 36317, settlement price: 2686, yesterday settlement: 2677, up: 9, closing price: 2668, daily trading volume: 38089 lots, precipitated capital: 698 million, capital inflow: 12.18 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

March 21

March 22nd

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

784-832

784-832

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

740-920

740-920

0/0

-

Hebei

860-920

860-920

0/0

Ex-factory price

South China

1000-1150

1000-1150

0/0

Can price

Shandong

730-860

760-860

30/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

1030-1070

1030-1070

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

850-920

880-950

30/30

Delivery price

Tianjin

2550-2630

2550-2630

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

880-930

880-930

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2800-2900

2800-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1340-1410

1340-1410

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1380-1410

1380-1410

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1330-1400

1330-1400

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2750-2860

2750-2860

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3200-3600

3200-3600

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2900-3100

2900-3100

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3350-3400

3350-3400

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1360-1450

1360-1450

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

960-1050

960-1050

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

2900-2950

2900-2950

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market shows a stable trend, the price trend is slightly different, liquid caustic soda prices in a few areas of the market transaction price center of gravity has moved up, sheet alkali prices in some areas, the price center of gravity has declined, and the market in most regions has maintained a stable trend. Today, prices in the liquid alkali market have risen in a few areas, and the operation in most areas is stable. Judging from the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has individually increased by 30 yuan per ton, while the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The price of liquid alkali purchased by downstream alumina plants has been raised again from 30 yuan / ton to 760 yuan / ton. at the same time, individual local caustic soda plants have begun to reduce the load, which has a supporting effect on the price of liquid alkali in Shandong area and a certain driving effect on the surrounding local areas. The operation of the market in most other regions is stable, the price maintains the previous level of operation, the supply and demand sides do not change much, the overall shipping situation of enterprises has not improved significantly, the enthusiasm of receiving goods downstream is general, and the mentality of operators in various regions is relatively cautious. Upstream production enterprises most manufacturers more stable prices wait and see, price adjustment mentality is more cautious, individual adjustments to factory quotations. Today, the tablet alkali market is weak and stable, the market transaction price center of gravity in some areas has moved down, and the market operation in most areas is relatively stable. The operation of the equipment of the upstream production enterprises is mostly stable, and the quotation of the manufacturers has not changed obviously. Downstream demand remains lukewarm, the procurement rhythm has not improved, and the market turnover is mediocre.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract concussion mainly, night trading price up slightly after concussion, early trading late price concussion downward, afternoon prices showed a small rebound, but down again in late afternoon trading. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2660-2716 throughout the day, with a price gap of 56 and a position of 1031 hands, with a position of 36317 hands so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose 1.98%, or 0.069%, to 2872.89 on March 22, while China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: the spot caustic soda market shows differential operation, the liquid alkali market has favorable support, the price rises mainly, while the trend of the flake alkali market is relatively weak, and the barycenter of transaction price moves down. First of all, from the point of view of the liquid alkali market, the equipment storage and maintenance plans in some areas in the later stage, at present, individual devices have already shown load reduction, and in the later stage, the supply side presents regional support to the market, while some areas have devices to produce high concentration of caustic soda, which is bad for local prices; downstream demand does not change much for the time being. The operation of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, the quotation mentality of manufacturers is cautious, and the shipping prices of traders are lowered regionally, mainly to promote shipments. in the later stage, it is expected that the operators are willing to adjust prices in general, and the market may remain stable.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract continues to show a volatile downward trend, trading situation: more than 13.4% vs. 18.6%, 15.1% vs. 15.2%, short positions are relatively obvious. The technical level shows that the opening trend of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) is downward, the KD line at the daily level shows a dead fork, and the golden fork trend of the MACD line narrows obviously and almost intersects. The pressure above the futures price is still large, and the upward price of the futures price is blocked. In the short term, the futures price may continue to fluctuate near the middle track and pay attention to the upper track pressure level.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

March 21

March 22nd

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

300-400

400-500

100/100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

300-400

400-500

100/100

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

300-350

300-350

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

100-200

100-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-350

200-350

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

400-500

500-600

100/100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on March 22, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 383.33, up 38.89, or 11.29%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: