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[Ethanol Daily Review]: China's ethanol market trends on March 19

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March 19, 2024, 5:01 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 5762 on March 19th, which was stable compared with the previous working day.

 

& nbsp; the price of ethanol in China is stable. Hot spots on March 18: first, prices in Henan remain stable. Second, prices in East China remain stable. Third, prices in Northeast China are stable. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is reduced by 50 yuan / ton. Fifth, the purchase transaction price of chemical rigid demand is weak. 6. The purchase price of Gezhan is stable. The outer plate price of dried cassava is weak.

Specifically, the price in the northeast region remains stable and the previous order is delivered. The price in Henan is stable, the order is delivered, waiting for the sugar and wine meeting order. The quotation in East China is stable, and the purchase transaction price of chemical rigid demand is lower than that of the previous day. The price of fuel ethanol remains stable and mainly deals with order delivery. Regional local refinery rigid demand procurement delivery price is stable. The price of coal-based ethanol is stable. Northeast enterprise Jilin market price 5800-5950 yuan / ton, Jilin no water 6400-6550 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 5650-5850 yuan / ton, and the Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6300-6500 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6100-6200 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6000 yuan / ton and the water-free price is 6800 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6200 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 6800-6850 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6400 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol in Guangxi, South China & nbsp;6350 yuan / ton.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2024/3/19

2024/3/18

Rise and fall

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7000-7050

7000-7050

0/0

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

6600

6600

0/0

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6350-6400

6400-6400

0/0

North China

No water

Hebei

6600-6800

6600-6800

0/0

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

5800-5950

5800-5950

0/0

No water

Jilin

6400-6600

6400-6600

0/0

General level

Jinzhou

6100-6200

6100-6200

0/0

General level

Heilongjiang Province

5650-5800

5650-5800

0/0

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6200-6250

6200-6250

0/0

No water

Anhui Province

6950-6950

6950-6950

0/0

General level

Shandong

6050-6200

6050-6200

0/0

Superior grade

Shandong

6600-6850

6600-6850

0/0

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

6750-6800

6750-6800

0/0

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6200-6200

6200-6200

0/0

No water

Northern Jiangsu

6800-6850

6800-6850

0/0

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6400-6400

6400-6400

0/0

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6000-6000

6000-6050

0/-50

No water

Henan

6800-6800

6850-6850

-50/-50

Raw material / by-product and downstream & nbsp

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2024/3/19

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2280-2340

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2150-2250

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2150-2240

Less transactions at a low price

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2100-2250

High fat

Central China

Henan

Corn

2340-2340

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

2350

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

245-248

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

6000-6000

Acceptance leaves the factory

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6050-6170

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6150-6200

Dongguan

Future forecast: China's ethanol market is expected to be stable or fluctuate slightly. The northeast big factory is willing to raise the price obviously, the early order delivers the goods. The price in Henan is weak, waiting for the order situation after the sugar and wine meeting is over. Although the cost in East China has declined, the production of enterprises is still at a loss, the shutdown enterprises have no start-up plan, and some non-local sources of goods are consumed, and the impact of non-local prices is greater. The supply of coal-based ethanol increased in the short term, and the market fluctuated slightly. Fuel ethanol production of large factories is not much at present, pre-order delivery.

Raw material: corn ethanol: corn prices rise in Northeast China. The price of ddgs fluctuates slightly. In the aspect of dried cassava: the price of dried cassava fluctuates in a narrow range.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning Hongda shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Luobei shutdown, Cofco Zhaodong excellent stop fuel production, Wanli installation is normal, Hongzhan 4 factories are normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production, China Kegring production, Fuyu Huihai shutdown; Fukang production, Tianyu production, Shuntong short-term downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng production, new Tianlong normal, Liuniu production. Huadong Huatian production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua shutdown, Kant downtime, Changxing production, Longhe downtime, Romat production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun shutdown, canal wind production, Maybo Huihui shutdown, and MINUSTAH production. Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan is normal, Huaxing is normal, Houyuan is normal. Jufeng shuts down. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zhalantun production, Inner Mongolia Jietainuo plant production. Jilin fuel is normal, Guotou Tieling production. Tianguan Nanyang shutdown. Guotou Jidong production. State Investment Helen production. Ethanol production, a by-product of Baling Petrochemical.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Liquor order purchase.

Logistics: logistics price is stable

 

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

Normal

 

Jilin Fukang

50

4

Normal

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Stop the machine

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Shut down on January 23rd

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Normal

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Start up in the middle of May

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Shuyang Guohua

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

Universal downtime in January

 

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Normal

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Production after the Spring Festival

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Normal

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

Normal

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Normal

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Normal

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

Normal

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

Normal

Fuel fuel

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

The machine was shut down on January 31 and put in material on March 4th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Hongzhang, ha.

60

30

Normal

 

Fukang

50

50

Normal

 

Tianyu

15

15

The anhydrous device was shut down on March 1st and other normal conditions.

 

Cofco Zhaodong

30

10

The food shutdown is expected to be fed on March 1.

 

Chifeng Ruiyang

8

8

Normal

 

Hongzhan Tahiko

30

30

Normal

 

Wanli Runda

60

60

Normal

 

Lianyungang Longhe River

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu sul alcohol

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

Stop the machine

 

Zalantun

10

10

Normal

 

Shandong Yingxuan

20

20

Normal

 

Jilin fuel

70

70

Normal

 

Guotou Tieling

30

30

Normal

 

Henan Nanyang Tianguan

30

30

The short stop for 3 months is normal.

 

Romet.

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Fuyu Huihai

5

5

Stop the machine

 

China Colleen

10

10

Normal

 

Guotou Jidong

30

30

Normal

 

Hongzhan Huannan

30

30

Normal

 

Jiangsu Flower Hall

25

25

The small line of the plant was restored on January 8, and all the east plants were restored in the middle of January.

 

Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.