[Ethanol Daily Review]: China's ethanol market trends on March 18

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March 18, 2024, 4:45 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 5762 on March 18, up from-38.5 in the previous working day.

& nbsp; regional prices in China's ethanol market are weakening. Hot spots on March 18: first, the superior price in Henan area will be lowered by 50-100 yuan / ton over the weekend. Second, the price in East China will be reduced by 50 yuan per ton. Third, the big factories in Northeast China have not paid the price. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is reduced by 50 yuan / ton. Fifth, the supply of coal-based ethanol has increased.

Specifically, large factories in Northeast China have not yet quoted prices, waiting for market feedback. The superior price in Henan area continues to decline, and the shipping mentality of enterprises is positive. The quotations of enterprises in East China have been lowered, and the situation of shipments is weak. The price of fuel ethanol remained stable and some factories did not pay a price. Northeast enterprise Jilin market price 5800-5950 yuan / ton, Jilin no water 6400-6550 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 5650-5850 yuan / ton, and the Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6300-6500 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6100-6200 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China offer 6000-6050 yuan / ton, and the water-free price is 6850-6900 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6200 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 6800-6850 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6400 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol in Guangxi, South China & nbsp;6400 yuan / ton.

& nbsp; unit: yuan / ton

Area	Specifications	Market	2024/3/18	2024/3/15	Rise and fall
South China	Cassava is anhydrous	Guangxi	7100-7250	7100-7250	0/0
	Molasses 95%	Guangxi	6600-6800	6600-6800	0/0
	Cassava 95%	Guangxi	6400-6400	6400-6400	0/0
North China	No water	Hebei	6600-6800	6600-6800	0/0
Northeast China	General level	Jilin	5800-5950	5800-5950	0/0
	No water	Jilin	6400-6600	6400-6600	0/0
	General level	Jinzhou	6100-6200	6100-6200	0/0
	General level	Heilongjiang Province	5650-5800	5650-5800	0/0
East China	General level	Anhui Province	6200-6250	6200-6250	0/0
	No water	Anhui Province	6950-6950	6950-6950	0/0
	General level	Shandong	6050-6200	6200-6250	-150/-50
	Superior grade	Shandong	6600-6850	6600-6850	0/0
	Send it to other places without water.	Shandong	6750-6800	6750-6800	0/0
	General level	Northern Jiangsu	6200-6200	6250-6250	-50/-50
	No water	Northern Jiangsu	6800-6850	6850-6900	-50/-50
	General level	Southern Jiangsu	6450-6450	6450-6450	0/0
Central China	Superior grade	Henan	6000-6050	6100-6100	-100/-50
Central China	No water	Henan	6850-6900	6850-6900	0/0

Raw material / by-product and downstream & nbsp

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area	Market	Raw materials / by-products	2024/3/18	Remarks
Northeast China	Jilin	Corn	2280-2340
Northeast China	Jilin	DDGS	2150-2250
Northeast China	Heilongjiang Province	Corn	2150-2230	Less transactions at a low price
Northeast China	Heilongjiang Province	DDGS	2100-2250	High fat
Central China	Henan	Corn	2430-2430
Central China	Henan	DDGS	2350
Thailand		Dried cassava	247-250
Shandong		Ethyl acetate	6050-6050	Acceptance leaves the factory
Jiangsu Province		Ethyl acetate	6170-6190
South China		Ethyl acetate	6250-6300	Dongguan

Future forecast: China's ethanol market is expected to be stable or fluctuate slightly. The market of large factories in Northeast China is waiting and seeing, and the downstream demand is limited. The price in Henan is weak, waiting for the order situation after the sugar and wine meeting is over. East China chemical rigid demand procurement, the price is expected to be weak. The output of coal-based ethanol increased.

Raw material: corn ethanol: corn prices rise in Northeast China. The price of ddgs fluctuates slightly. In the aspect of dried cassava: the price of dried cassava fluctuates in a narrow range.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning Hongda shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Luobei shutdown, Cofco Zhaodong excellent stop fuel production, Wanli installation is normal, Hongzhan 4 factories are normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production, China Kegring production, Fuyu Huihai shutdown; Fukang production, Tianyu production, Shuntong short-term downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng production, new Tianlong normal, Liuniu production. Huadong Huatian production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua shutdown, Kant downtime, Changxing production, Longhe downtime, Romat production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun shutdown, canal wind production, Maybo Huihui shutdown, and MINUSTAH production. Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan is normal, Huaxing is normal, Houyuan is normal. Jufeng shuts down. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zhalantun production, Inner Mongolia Jietainuo plant production. Jilin fuel is normal, Guotou Tieling production. Tianguan Nanyang shutdown. Guotou Jidong production. State Investment Helen production. Ethanol production, a by-product of Baling Petrochemical.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Liquor order purchase.

Logistics: logistics price is stable

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name	Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)	Maintenance involves production capacity	Maintenance start time	Remarks
Hongzhan (Jixian)	60	60	Normal
Jilin Fukang	50	4	Normal
Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil	3	3	Stop the machine
Inner Mongolia Shuntong	12	12	Shut down on January 23rd
Heilongjiang Zhongke Green	10	10	Normal
Fulaichun, Shandong Province	20	20	Stop the machine
Jiangsu Dongcheng	15	15	Stop the machine
Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang	5	5	Stop the machine
Jiangsu Haiyan	15	15	Start up in the middle of May
Jiangsu Maibo remittance	8	8	Stop the machine
Shuyang Guohua	5	5	Stop the machine
Anhui COFCO	75	30	Universal downtime in January
Anhui Wuhechun	8	8	Stop the machine
Jilin Xintianlong	30	30	Normal
Heilongjiang Sheng long	15	15	Production after the Spring Festival
Inner Mongolia Liniu	10	10	Normal
Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province	30	30	Normal
Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province	50	50	Normal
Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain	10	10	Normal
National Investment Helen	30	30	Normal	Fuel fuel
Guotou Jidong	30	30	Normal	Fuel fuel
Zhenjiang Changxing	10	10	The machine was shut down on January 31 and put in material on March 4th.
Jin Changlin in Lianyungang	5	5	Stop the machine
Hongzhang, ha.	60	30	Normal
Fukang	50	50	Normal
Tianyu	15	15	The anhydrous device was shut down on March 1st and other normal conditions.
Cofco Zhaodong	30	10	The food shutdown is expected to be fed on March 1.
Chifeng Ruiyang	8	8	Normal
Hongzhan Tahiko	30	30	Normal
Wanli Runda	60	60	Normal
Lianyungang Longhe River	10	10	Stop the machine
Jiangsu sul alcohol	12	12	Stop the machine
Liaoyuan giant peak	50	50	Stop the machine
Zalantun	10	10	Normal
Shandong Yingxuan	20	20	Normal
Jilin fuel	70	70	Normal
Guotou Tieling	30	30	Normal
Henan Nanyang Tianguan	30	30	The short stop for 3 months is normal.
Romet.	5	5	Stop the machine
Fuyu Huihai	5	5	Stop the machine
China Colleen	10	10	Normal
Guotou Jidong	30	30	Normal
Hongzhan Huannan	30	30	Normal
Jiangsu Flower Hall	25	25	The small line of the plant was restored on January 8, and all the east plants were restored in the middle of January.