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Polyester industry chain: Insufficient cost support, polyester market trend is weakening

83,610
March 18, 2024, 4:37 PM

I. the market trend chart of polyester industry chain

On March 18, the market price index of ethylene glycol was 4527.72, down 68.13 from the previous working day.

 

On March 18, China's PTA market price index was 5895, down 10% from the previous working day.

 

On March 18, the market price index of polyester chips was 6875, unchanged from the previous working day, while the market price index of polyester bottle chips was 7075, down 25 from the previous working day.

 

II. Summary of market price of polyester industry chain

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

PTA

Spot

East China

5895

5905

-10

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

Glycol

Polyester grade

East China

4480

4590

-110

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Polyester grade

South China

4550

4650

-100

Short delivery including tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester chip

Semi-light section

East China

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Light slicing

6900

6900

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester bottle chip

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

East China

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

7175

7200

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

South China

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

7075

7100

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

7175

7200

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester filament

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY150D/48F

East China

7700

7725

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market FDY150D/96F

8250

8300

-50

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market DTY150D/48F

9025

9025

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY75D/72F

8000

8000

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester staple yarn

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Jiangsu Province

7375

7400

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Zhejiang

7400

7450

-50

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

III. Brief introduction of Polyester Industry chain Market

PTA

Today, the spot market of PTA in East China is maintained and sorted out, and it is discussed for reference near 5895 yuan / ton. This week and next week, the main port and warehouse receipt delivery 05 discount 33-38 near the transaction and negotiation. The international crude oil market fell, the market mentality tended to be cautious, and the PTA futures market remained volatile. Spot base difference is stable, traders and polyester factories are cautious, and market trading is deserted. It is expected that the short-term market will maintain a narrow adjustment.

Glycol

Today, the market price of ethylene glycol has dropped. The decline in the international crude oil market has suppressed the market mentality, and the focus of negotiations in the ethylene glycol market has fallen. The price quoted in East China revolves around 4480 yuan / ton, down 110 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day. The quotation in South China is around 4550 yuan / ton. The later maintenance equipment of ethylene glycol increased, the market supply was expected to decrease, the downstream polyester load remained stable, and the supply and demand side supported the market. The lack of continuous drive in the market, the short-term ethylene glycol market is expected to maintain a volatile trend.

Polyester chip

Today's polyester chip market is narrowly arranged. The polyester raw material market is weak, the cost end to the market support is insufficient, the polyester chip market offer is stable, the market negotiation center of gravity adjusts slightly. The downstream demand is weak, and the production and marketing of enterprises are light. It is expected that the polyester chip market will maintain the finishing operation in the short term.

Polyester bottle chip

Today, the market for polyester bottle chips is weak. Polyester raw material market is weak, the cost end to the market support is insufficient, the mainstream bottle chip manufacturers offer down 50 yuan / ton, the market mainstream offer tends to the low end; downstream cautious wait-and-see, market trading atmosphere is light. It is expected that the short-term lactone bottle market may maintain finishing.

Polyester filament

Today, the polyester filament market is narrowly weak. The cost-side callback suppressed the market, the mainstream offer of polyester enterprises was stable, some quotations were adjusted in a narrow range, and the center of gravity of the market transaction was adjusted narrowly. Downstream demand is weak, market production and sales decline. It is expected that the market price of filament will tend to be sorted out in the short term.

Polyester staple fiber

Today, the polyester staple market fell in a narrow range. The weakening cost of polyester suppresses the formation of the market, and the price of staple fiber market pulls back slightly. The downstream demand follow-up is insufficient, the enterprise production and marketing is general. It is expected that the short-term market price of polyester staple fiber will be maintained.

IV. Polyester Raw material Futures Market

PTA:3 18 PTA main 2405 contract opening price: 5938, lowest price: 5892, highest price: 5946, closing price: 5938, settlement price: 5924, up 2, position: 962237.

 

Ethylene glycol: March 18 EG main contract 2405 opening price: 4620, lowest price: 4483, highest price: 4625, closing price: 4512, settlement price: 4532, down 107, position: 380485.

V. production and marketing data of polyester market

Product

2024.3.18

2024.3.15

Rise and fall

Unit

Polyester chip

40%

60%

-20%

%

Polyester filament

35%

50%

-15%

%

Polyester staple fiber

35%

40%

-5%

%

VI. Future forecast

The high fluctuation of the international crude oil market promotes the formation of the market, the supply and demand side of the polyester raw material PTA and ethylene glycol market is promoted, and it is expected that the short-term market will be high-level adjustment, polyester raw material end support, polyester market offer will mainly adjust slightly with the cost, downstream demand is weak, market production and marketing is depressed. Short-term polyester market prices are expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. In the later stage, we should pay close attention to the changes of the raw material market and the supply and demand of polyester itself.