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[Ethanol Daily Review]: China's ethanol market trends on March 15

83,861
March 15, 2024, 4:24 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 5800.50 on March 15th, which was stable compared with the previous working day.

 

& nbsp; China's ethanol market is stable. March 15 hot spots: first, prices in Henan are stable. Second, prices in East China are stable. Third, prices in Northeast China are stable. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is stable. Fifth, the transaction price of chemical industry has dropped. Sixth, the earth refinery rigid demand procurement. Seventh, the price of dried cassava is weak.

Specifically, the price of the factory in Northeast China is stable and the early order is delivered. Prices in Henan are stable and some orders are signed. The quotation of enterprises in East China is stable, the chemical industry has rigid demand for procurement, and the transaction price is weak. The price of fuel ethanol remained stable, and some local refineries had rigid demand for procurement. Northeast enterprise Jilin market price 5800-5950 yuan / ton, Jilin no water 6400-6550 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 5650-5850 yuan / ton, and the Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6300-6500 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6100-6200 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6100 yuan / ton, and the water-free price is 6850-6900 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6300 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 6850-6900 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6400-6450 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol in Guangxi, South China & nbsp;6400 yuan / ton.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2024/3/15

2024/3/14

Rise and fall

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7100-7250

7100-7250

0/0

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

6600-6800

6600-6800

0/0

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6400-6400

6400-6400

0/0

North China

No water

Hebei

6600-6800

6600-6800

0/0

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

5800-5950

5800-5950

0/0

No water

Jilin

6400-6600

6400-6600

0/0

General level

Jinzhou

6100-6200

6100-6200

0/0

General level

Heilongjiang Province

5650-5800

5650-5800

0/0

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6200-6250

6200-6250

0/0

No water

Anhui Province

6950-6950

6950-6950

0/0

General level

Shandong

6200-6250

6200-6250

0/0

Superior grade

Shandong

6600-6850

6600-6850

0/0

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

6750-6800

6750-6800

0/0

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6300-6300

6300-6300

0/0

No water

Northern Jiangsu

6850-6900

6850-6900

0/0

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6450-6450

6450-6450

0/0

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6100-6100

6100-6100

0/0

No water

Henan

6850-6900

6850-6900

0/0

Raw material / by-product and downstream & nbsp

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2024/3/15

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2280-2320

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2150-2250

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2150-2230

Less transactions at a low price

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2030-2100

High fat

Central China

Henan

Corn

2430-2430

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

2300

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

248-250

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

6100-6130

Acceptance leaves the factory

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6200-6200

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6250-6300

Dongguan

Future forecast: China's ethanol market is expected to be stable or fluctuate slightly. The northeast part of the early order execution, part of the source of goods to the port, the cost of high support, but the downstream demand is limited, and part of the trade shipping mentality is positive, the short-term price is expected to be stable. Prices in Henan fall to a low, waiting for orders for chemicals and spirits, and prices will rebound when orders increase. Order delivery in East China, the price may be stable or small fluctuations. Large manufacturers of fuel ethanol mainly order delivery, the output is limited, the price is stable. After the late supply of coal-based ethanol increases, the market game.

Raw material: corn ethanol: corn prices rise in Northeast China. The price of ddgs fluctuates slightly. In the aspect of dried cassava: the price of dried cassava fluctuates in a narrow range.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning Hongda shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Luobei shutdown, Cofco Zhaodong excellent stop fuel production, Wanli installation is normal, Hongzhan 4 factories are normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production, China Kegring production, Fuyu Huihai shutdown; Fukang production, Tianyu production, Shuntong short-term downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng production, new Tianlong normal, Liuniu production. Huadong Huatian production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua shutdown, Kant downtime, Changxing production, Longhe downtime, Romat production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun shutdown, canal wind production, Maybo Huihui shutdown, and MINUSTAH production. Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan is normal, Huaxing is normal, Houyuan is normal. Jufeng shuts down. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zhalantun production, Inner Mongolia Jietainuo plant production. Jilin fuel is normal, Guotou Tieling production. Tianguan Nanyang shutdown. Guotou Jidong production. State Investment Helen production. Ethanol production, a by-product of Baling Petrochemical.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Liquor order purchase.

Logistics: logistics price is stable

 

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

Normal

 

Jilin Fukang

50

4

Normal

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Stop the machine

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Shut down on January 23rd

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Normal

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Start up in the middle of May

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Shuyang Guohua

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

Universal downtime in January

 

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Normal

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Production after the Spring Festival

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Normal

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

Normal

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Normal

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Normal

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

Normal

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

Normal

Fuel fuel

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

The machine was shut down on January 31 and put in material on March 4th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Hongzhang, ha.

60

30

Normal

 

Fukang

50

50

Normal

 

Tianyu

15

15

The anhydrous device was shut down on March 1st and other normal conditions.

 

Cofco Zhaodong

30

10

The food shutdown is expected to be fed on March 1.

 

Chifeng Ruiyang

8

8

Normal

 

Hongzhan Tahiko

30

30

Normal

 

Wanli Runda

60

60

Normal

 

Lianyungang Longhe River

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu sul alcohol

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

Stop the machine

 

Zalantun

10

10

Normal

 

Shandong Yingxuan

20

20

Normal

 

Jilin fuel

70

70

Normal

 

Guotou Tieling

30

30

Normal

 

Henan Nanyang Tianguan

30

30

The short stop for 3 months is normal.

 

Romet.

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Fuyu Huihai

5

5

Stop the machine

 

China Colleen

10

10

Normal

 

Guotou Jidong

30

30

Normal

 

Hongzhan Huannan

30

30

Normal

 

Jiangsu Flower Hall

25

25

The small line of the plant was restored on January 8, and all the east plants were restored in the middle of January.

 

Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.