Caustic soda: The focus of spot prices has partially shifted upwards, and the futures price has increased its position downward

Caustic soda futures analysis:    March 13 SH2405 contract opening price: 2692, highest price: 2698, lowest price: 2643, position: 42102, settlement price: 2671, yesterday settlement: 2693, down: 22, closing price: 2655, daily trading volume: 35955 lots, precipitated capital: 805 million, capital inflow: 37.35 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)
Specifications	Market	March 12th	March 13th	Rise and fall	Remarks
32% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	950-1300	950-1300	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Northwest	768-816	768-816	0/0	Ex-factory price
	North China	710-830	710-850	0/20	-
	Hebei	780-840	800-850	20/10	Ex-factory price
	South China	1000-1150	1000-1150	0/0	Can price
	Shandong	700-830	700-830	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Zhejiang	1005-1030	1005-1030	0/0	-
	Jiangsu Province	820-880	820-880	0/0	Delivery price
	Tianjin	2550-2600	2550-2600	0/0	A discount of 100%
	Anhui Province	830-880	830-880	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Henan	2800-2900	2800-2900	0/0	A discount of 100%
50% ionic membrane alkali	North China	1270-1360	1270-1360	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Hebei	1320-1340	1320-1340	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	1270-1380	1270-1380	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Tianjin	2750-2800	2750-2800	0/0	A discount of 100%
	Southwest	3200-3400	3200-3500	0/100	A discount of 100%
99% tablet alkali	Northwest	2900-3100	2900-3100	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	3350-3400	3350-3400	0/0	Ex-factory price
45% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	1680-1750	1680-1750	0/0	Ex-factory price
49% ionic membrane alkali	Jiangsu Province	1250-1380	1295-1380	45/0	Ex-factory price
30% ionic membrane alkali	Southwest	930-990	930-1020	0/30	-
48% ionic membrane alkali	Henan	2900-2950	2900-2950	0/0	A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market continues to rise slightly in some areas, and most areas maintain a wait-and-see mentality. The guiding factors are different in different regions, and most of the operators are cautious. The market transaction is general, the price of liquid alkali has been raised in a few areas, and the price center of gravity of tablet alkali transaction has not changed much. Today, prices in some areas of the liquid alkali market have risen, and most areas are watching cautiously. From the point of view of market price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 10-20 yuan / ton, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 100 yuan / ton, 30% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 30 yuan / ton, and 49% of the ionic membrane alkali rose 45 yuan / ton. the prices of other concentrations of alkali almost remained stable, and there was no obvious adjustment in the price range. There are parking and overhauling of caustic soda plants in individual areas today, coupled with the availability of enterprise shipments, supporting the slight upward movement of the price center of gravity in the local market; the load of caustic soda devices in individual areas is dissatisfied, but there is a certain pressure on enterprise inventory, so local prices have risen slightly in individual regions, and most of them maintain a stable trend. In most other areas, the supply and demand sides of the market do not change much, maintain the previous level of operation, the enterprise shipping situation does not change much, the downstream receiving enthusiasm is general, the mentality of operators in each region is relatively cautious, and the price level is mostly maintained in the early stage. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, and a few manufacturers raise the ex-factory quotation mainly. Today, the tablet alkali market is regionally adjusted, and the market in most areas is stable. The operation of the equipment of the upstream production enterprises is relatively stable, the load of the equipment in some areas has changed, the quotations of the manufacturers have been partially raised, and the shipping prices of some traders have also increased accordingly, and the transaction is lukewarm.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract concussion downward. Night trading price concussion operation, after the opening of the morning concussion downward, and then a small fluctuation, afternoon prices continue to show a small downward trend. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2643-2698 throughout the day, with a price gap of 55 and a position increase of 2476 hands, with a position of 42102 hands so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2790.18 on March 13, up 13.14%, or 0.473%. China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, the overall operation of the spot market is stable and small, market prices in some areas are adjusted flexibly, the mentality of operators in most areas is more cautious, and there is no obvious change in the price range. On the supply side, the operation of the equipment in most areas is relatively stable, the maintenance plan of the equipment in some areas supports the local market, and the supply in other areas maintains the previous level. The overall downstream demand does not change much, maintaining the rhythm of rigid demand procurement low replenishment, insufficient guidance to the market. At present, the regional market lacks the factors that obviously guide the market trend, and it is expected that the short-term caustic soda price will be adjusted flexibly by each region according to the local market and the enterprise's own situation.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract shows a downward trend of concussion, and a downward trend of increasing positions in the day. Market turnover: 13% more than empty 20.3%, empty 13.2% more than 17.3%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three rails of the Bolin belt (13,13,2) diverges, the opening of the middle and lower rails is downward, the KD line at the daily level shows a dead fork trend, and the dead fork trend expands, and the two MACD lines nearly intersect. Intraday low close to the lower track, but did not fall, the disk closed at the negative column cross, there is support below the futures price, short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract price may continue to fluctuate, pay attention to the lower track support.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index rose 5.56%, or 1.92%, to 294.44 on March 13. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: