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March 6 Gasoline Market Analysis

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March 6, 2024, 4:42 PM

March 6 Gasoline Market Analysis

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240305

US

WTI

78.15

-0.59

20240305

British

Brent

82.04

-0.76

 

Gasoline price index

On March 6, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 8908.82, down 7.33, or 0.08%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9214.97, down 8.97, or 0.10%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were lowered, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 306.16.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

Today, the main wholesale price of gasoline in China has declined mostly. Among them, gasoline prices in North China, South China, Central China, Southwest and Northeast China have been lowered by 30-160 yuan/ton; gasoline prices in East China and Northwest China have been consolidated within the region. The ex-factory prices of local refineries are mainly minor. Among them, gasoline prices in Shandong, North China, East China, Northeast and Southwest regions have been lowered by 20-100 yuan/ton, and gasoline prices in other regions have been relatively stable. At present, transactions in China's gasoline market are light, international crude oil has closed down, and cost support is insufficient. In addition, demand continues to be weak. The phased replenishment in the middle and lower reaches has ended early. There are no favorable factors in the market to stimulate, refinery shipments have performed poorly, and price reduction promotions have increased.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on March 6 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 3.5

Price 3.6

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8500-9581

8420-9581

-80/0

95#

8700-9942

8620-9942

-80/0

South China

92#

8900-9680

8900-9650

0/-30

95#

9100-9980

9100-9950

0/-30

central China

92#

8780-9400

8750-9400

-30/0

95#

8980-9700

8900-9700

-80/0

East China

92#

8600-9100

8600-9100

0/0

95#

8800-9300

8800-9300

0/0

northwestern region

92#

8700-10109

8700-10109

0/0

95#

8900-10878

8900-10878

0/0

southwestern region

92#

8850-10146

8830-10146

-20/0

95#

9050-9950

9000-9950

-50/0

Northeast China

92#

8580-8750

8520-8750

-60/0

95#

8810-9600

8650-9600

-160/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on March 6 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 3.5

Price 3.6

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8370-8870

8350-8800

-20/-70

95#

8400-9090

8380-9020

-20/-70

in North China

92#

8540-8630

8520-8530

-20/-100

95#

8640-8680

8620-8580

-20/-100

central China

92#

8830-8830

8830-8830

0/0

95#

9030-9030

9030-9030

0/0

East China

92#

8490-8630

8470-8600

-20/-30

95#

8610-8740

8590-8710

-20/-30

northwestern region

92#

8500-8800

8500-8800

0/0

95#

8650-9000

8650-9000

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8460-8550

8400-8550

-60/0

95#

8750-8750

8750-8750

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9100-9100

9000-9000

-100/-100

95#

9200-9200

9100-9100

-100/-100

 

market outlook

In terms of international crude oil, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and support for OPEC + production cuts still exist, so we should pay attention to the signals brought by the release of EIA inventory data. Demand in China's gasoline market is weak and has no holiday support. The lack of positive factors has boosted the gasoline market. There is a strong wait-and-see attitude in the middle and lower reaches, and small orders just need to be purchased. Overall, it is expected that downside risks to China's gasoline market will still exist in the short term.