Caustic soda: Spot prices continue to increase regionally, and futures prices break through the upper track and rise significantly

Caustic soda futures analysis:    March 5 SH2405 contract opening price: 2701, highest price: 2744, lowest price: 2690, position: 43166, settlement price: 2715, yesterday settlement: 2683, up: 32, closing price: 2706, daily trading volume: 56709 lots, precipitated capital: 841 million, capital outflow: 18.24 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)
Specifications	Market	March fourth	March fifth	Rise and fall	Remarks
32% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	950-1300	950-1300	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Northwest	768-784	768-816	0/32	Ex-factory price
	North China	710-810	710-810	0/0	-
	Hebei	750-810	750-810	0/0	Ex-factory price
	South China	980-1130	980-1130	0/0	Can price
	Shandong	710-790	710-790	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Zhejiang	1005-1030	1005-1030	0/0	-
	Jiangsu Province	820-880	820-880	0/0	Delivery price
	Tianjin	2300-2400	2300-2400	0/0	A discount of 100%
	Anhui Province	830-880	830-880	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Henan	2450-2700	2500-2700	50/0	A discount of 100%
50% ionic membrane alkali	North China	1220-1320	1220-1320	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Hebei	1300-1320	1300-1320	0/0	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	1200-1290	1200-1290	0/0	Current exchange rate
	Tianjin	2600-2670	2600-2670	0/0	A discount of 100%
	Southwest	3200-3400	3200-3400	0/0	A discount of 100%
99% tablet alkali	Northwest	2900-3000	2900-3100	0/100	Ex-factory price
	Shandong	3300-3400	3300-3400	0/0	Ex-factory price
45% ionic membrane alkali	Northeast China	1680-1750	1680-1750	0/0	Ex-factory price
49% ionic membrane alkali	Jiangsu Province	1230-1380	1230-1380	0/0	Ex-factory price
30% ionic membrane alkali	Southwest	930-990	930-990	0/0	-
48% ionic membrane alkali	Henan	2700-2800	2800-2900	100/100	A discount of 100%

 

Spot analysis of caustic soda:      today China's caustic soda market as a whole shows an upward trend, the market transaction situation is flexible, liquid alkali prices rise regionally, individual areas are good to support, market transaction prices in most areas of the market are mainly stable, and most operators hold a wait-and-see mentality. Today, the price center of gravity in a few areas of the liquid alkali market has moved up, most areas have remained wait-and-see, and the price center of gravity has not changed obviously. from the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali has individually increased by 32-50 yuan / ton, 48% of ionic membrane alkali has increased by 100 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained almost stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The upward movement of the price center of gravity in the liquid alkali market in some regions of Northwest China is mainly boosted by the upward quotation of local caustic soda enterprises, increased confidence among traders, and an increase in market prices; the price of high concentration caustic soda in some areas has risen mainly, and the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great. The situation of enterprise shipments is relatively good, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm is still good, so the price is mainly rising. In most other areas, the supply and demand sides of the market do not change much, maintain the previous level of operation, the enterprise shipping situation does not change much, the downstream receiving enthusiasm is general, the mentality of operators in each region is relatively cautious, and the price level is mostly maintained in the early stage. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, a few adjust the ex-factory quotation, the price adjustment direction is different, the range is 10-20 yuan / ton, the ex-factory quotation in central China is raised obviously, the range is 50-150 yuan / ton. Today, the operation of most devices in tablet alkali enterprises is relatively stable, the downstream demand side does not change much, the overall market transaction situation maintains the previous level, the new order prices of most manufacturers in Northwest China have not been announced yet, and the quotations of operators in the market are relatively cautious. The shipping price has not been significantly adjusted, mainly waiting to see the market as a whole.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract shows a trend of rising first and then falling. Night trading price concussion operation, early trading after the opening price upward, to the intraday high of 2744 points began to shock downward, afternoon prices as a whole shock operation. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2690-2744 throughout the day, with a price difference of 54. 05 contracts reduced their positions by 1116 hands, and have held 43166 positions so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2713.61 on March 5, up 10.62%, or 0.393%. China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: recently, the caustic soda spot market shows a trend of narrow operation. at present, there is a lack of factors to guide the overall trend of the market, and only a few areas flexibly adjust prices according to local enterprises and market conditions. at present, the operation of most devices is relatively stable, and local equipment maintenance brings a certain boost to local prices. The overall downstream demand does not change much, the overall demand shows regional differences, there is resumption of production in the lower reaches of some areas, and the demand is in the recovery stage. At present, the overall enthusiasm of inquiry in the market is general, and there are little changes on both sides of supply and demand, it is expected that the short-term price of caustic soda will continue to show regional changes.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract price upward is relatively obvious, intraday highs break through the upper track up to 2744, the current futures price is in the middle and upper track operation, mainly reducing positions. Market turnover: 18% more than empty 12.7%, 14.7% more flat than 21.4%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) has an upward trend, and the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a golden fork trend. In the short term, the SH2405 contract price of caustic soda still has an upward trend.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on March 5, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 322.22, up 116.67, or 56.76%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: