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Gasoline Market Analysis on March 4

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March 4, 2024, 6:12 PM

Gasoline Market Analysis on March 4

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240301

US

WTI

79.97

1.71

20240301

British

Brent

83.55

-0.07

 

Gasoline price index

On March 4, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 885.88, up 13.43, or 0.15%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9190.56, up 12.58, or 0.14%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were raised, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 304.68.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

Today, China's gasoline market fluctuated within a narrow range. Among them, the main wholesale price of gasoline was increased by 30-50 yuan/ton in central and southern China, and the price of gasoline in southwest China was lowered by 50 yuan/ton. The ex-factory price of local refineries is increased by 10-60 yuan/ton, and the price of gasoline in Shandong, North China, and East China is reduced by 50 yuan/ton. At present, transactions in China's gasoline market are average, international oil prices are rising, and the retail price limit increase is approaching. The market's wait-and-see mentality has weakened. Mid-stream and downstream traders just need to replenish stocks, and refinery shipments are still acceptable, so they offer flexible quotations.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on March 4 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 3.1

Price 3.4

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8500-9581

8500-9581

0/0

95#

8700-9942

8700-9942

0/0

South China

92#

8850-9630

8900-9680

50/50

95#

9050-9930

9100-9980

50/50

central China

92#

8750-9400

8780-9400

30/0

95#

8950-9700

8980-9700

30/0

East China

92#

8600-9010

8600-9010

0/0

95#

8800-9210

8800-9210

0/0

northwestern region

92#

8700-9977

8700-9977

0/0

95#

8900-10558

8900-10558

0/0

southwestern region

92#

8900-10146

8850-10146

-50/0

95#

9100-9950

9050-9950

-50/0

Northeast China

92#

8580-8750

8580-8750

0/0

95#

8810-9600

8810-9600

0/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on March 4 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 3.1

Price 3.4

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8410-8870

8420-8870

10/0

95#

8440-9090

8450-9090

10/0

in North China

92#

8510-8600

8570-8630

60/30

95#

8610-8650

8670-8680

60/30

central China

92#

8830-8830

8830-8830

0/0

95#

9030-9030

9030-9030

0/0

East China

92#

8440-8580

8490-8630

50/50

95#

8560-8690

8610-8740

50/50

northwestern region

92#

8500-8800

8500-8800

0/0

95#

8650-9000

8650-9000

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8460-8550

8460-8550

0/0

95#

8630-8750

8630-8750

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9150-9150

9100-9100

-50/-50

95#

9250-9250

9200-9200

-50/-50

 

market outlook

Geopolitical instability in international crude oil continues. OPEC + production cuts have been extended to the end of the second quarter, basically facing increased support from the gasoline market. The gasoline market in China is approaching the opening date of the price adjustment window, and the adjustment of retail price limits is about to be realized. Coupled with the enhanced cost-side support, gasoline demand is insufficient and refinery shipments are performing generally. Overall, China's gasoline market is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range in the short term.